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Assessing the Trade Impact of the European Neighborhood Policy on EU-MED Free Trade Area

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  • Pierluigi Montalbano
  • Silvia Nenci

Abstract

The main goal of this article is to provide an ex ante assessment of the long-run average treatment e¤ect of ENP on EU-MED FTA. The novelty of this work is twofold: to present nonparametric matching estimators along with gravity estimates; to assume, as a counterfactual, the ex-post treatment e¤ect of the EAs. Our empirical outcomes show a strong and robust impact on EU-MED trade integration of the new "deep integra- tion" e¤orts made by the EU. This empirical evidence is relevant both to policymaking and to strengthen the empirical assessment of the EU "policy impact" in the Mediterranean Area.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierluigi Montalbano & Silvia Nenci, 2012. "Assessing the Trade Impact of the European Neighborhood Policy on EU-MED Free Trade Area," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0147, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    • Handle: RePEc:rtr:wpaper:0147
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    1. Giovanni Cerulli & Silvia Nenci & Luca Salvatici & Antonio Zinilli, 2022. "Currency Unions and Global Value Chains: The Impact of the Euro on the Italian Value Added Exports," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(2), pages 373-407, July.
    2. M. D. Parra & I. Martinez-Zarzoso & C. Suárez-Burguet, 2016. "The impact of FTAs on MENA trade in agricultural and industrial products," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(25), pages 2341-2353, May.
    3. Ascani, Andrea & Crescenzi, Riccardo & Iammarino, Simona, 2016. "What drives European multinationals to the EU neighbouring countries? A mixed methods analysis of Italian investment strategies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64862, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Tamini, Lota D. & Chebbi, Houssem Eddine & Abbassi, Abdessalem, 2016. "Trade performance and potential of North African countries: An application of a stochastic frontier gravity model," AGRODEP working papers 33, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Nenci, Silvia & Vurchio, Davide, 2023. "Modeling country-sectoral spillovers in generalized propensity score matching: An empirical test on trade data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    6. Andrea Ascani & Riccardo Crescenzi & Simona Iammarino, 2016. "What drives European multinationals to the European Union neighbouring countries? A mixed-methods analysis of Italian investment strategies," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 34(4), pages 656-675, June.
    7. Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano & Silvia Nenci, 2013. "Are the EU trade preferences really effective? A Generalized Propensity Score evaluation of the Southern Mediterranean Countries' case in agriculture and fishery," Working Papers 2/13, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    8. Cerqua, Augusto & Montalbano, Pierluigi & Temerbulatova, Zhansaya, 2024. "A decade of Eurasian integration: An ex-post non-parametric assessment of the Eurasian economic union," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    9. M. D. Parra & I. Martínez-Zarzoso & C. Suárez-Burguet, 2013. "The impact of FTAs on MENA trade in industrial and agricultural products," Working Papers 13-05, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
    10. Montalbano, Pierluigi & Nenci, Silvia & Dell'Agostino, Laura, 2022. "A non-parametric assessment of the effects of the Euro on GVC trade," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 56-76.
    11. Mathias Juust & Priit Vahter & Urmas Varblane, 2017. "The Trade Effects Of The Eu-South Korea Free Trade Agreement In The Automotive Industry," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 105, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade policy; European integration; Gravity Model; Match- ing econometrics; Southern Mediterranean Countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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