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Importações e Mudanças Estruturais na Indústria Brasileira, 2003-2018: Uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural

Author

Listed:
  • Castro, Gustavo Henrique Leite

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Azzoni, Carlos Roberto

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

Abstract

As importações e as mudanças estruturais na indústria têm sido objeto de intenso debate acadêmico e político, dada sua importância para o crescimento econômico. Este estudo apresenta os resultados de uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural (SDA) aplicada à indústria brasileira no período de 2003 a 2018, com o objetivo de identificar os impactos das mudanças estruturais sobre as importações industriais. Utilizando as matrizes de insumo-produto disponibilizadas pelo Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da USP (Nereus), a pesquisa destaca as disparidades entre diferentes setores industriais durante os ciclos cambiais de valorização (2003-2010) e desvalorização (2011-2018). Os resultados mostraram que o componente de demanda final é relevante para explicar a variação das importações de todos os setores da indústria. Apesar da taxa de câmbio desvalorizada no segundo ciclo, não houve mudanças significativas nos padrões de consumo, na intensidade de utilização de insumos importados e na dinâmica tecnológica da indústria brasileira.

Suggested Citation

  • Castro, Gustavo Henrique Leite & Azzoni, Carlos Roberto, 2024. "Importações e Mudanças Estruturais na Indústria Brasileira, 2003-2018: Uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural," TD NEREUS 12-2024, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2024_012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    indústria; importações; câmbio; análise de decomposição estrutural;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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