IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/nereus/2024_012.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Importações e Mudanças Estruturais na Indústria Brasileira, 2003-2018: Uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural

Author

Listed:
  • Castro, Gustavo Henrique Leite

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Azzoni, Carlos Roberto

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

Abstract

As importações e as mudanças estruturais na indústria têm sido objeto de intenso debate acadêmico e político, dada sua importância para o crescimento econômico. Este estudo apresenta os resultados de uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural (SDA) aplicada à indústria brasileira no período de 2003 a 2018, com o objetivo de identificar os impactos das mudanças estruturais sobre as importações industriais. Utilizando as matrizes de insumo-produto disponibilizadas pelo Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da USP (Nereus), a pesquisa destaca as disparidades entre diferentes setores industriais durante os ciclos cambiais de valorização (2003-2010) e desvalorização (2011-2018). Os resultados mostraram que o componente de demanda final é relevante para explicar a variação das importações de todos os setores da indústria. Apesar da taxa de câmbio desvalorizada no segundo ciclo, não houve mudanças significativas nos padrões de consumo, na intensidade de utilização de insumos importados e na dinâmica tecnológica da indústria brasileira.

Suggested Citation

  • Castro, Gustavo Henrique Leite & Azzoni, Carlos Roberto, 2024. "Importações e Mudanças Estruturais na Indústria Brasileira, 2003-2018: Uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural," TD NEREUS 12-2024, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2024_012
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.usp.br/nereus/wp-content/uploads/TD_NEREUS_12_2024.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: ris

    File URL: http://www.usp.br/nereus/?txtdiscussao=td-nereus-12-2024
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: ris
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, 2020. "Neutralizing the Dutch disease," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 298-316, April.
    2. Carrington, Sarah J. & Herrero Olarte, Susana & Urbina, Gabriel, 2023. "Commodity cycle management in Latin America: The importance of resilience in face of vulnerability," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los, 1998. "Structural Decomposition Techniques: Sense and Sensitivity," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 307-324.
    4. Erten, Bilge & Ocampo, José Antonio, 2013. "Super Cycles of Commodity Prices Since the Mid-Nineteenth Century," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 14-30.
    5. Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2014. "Commodity Prices and the Business Cycle in Latin America: Living and Dying by Commodities?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 110-137, March.
    6. Luiz Bresser-Pereira, 2012. "Summing Up Structuralist Development Macroeconomics and New Developmentalism," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(5), pages 59-78.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nishijima, Daisuke, 2017. "The role of technology, product lifetime, and energy efficiency in climate mitigation: A case study of air conditioners in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 340-347.
    2. Shigemi Kagawa & Yuriko Goto & Sangwon Suh & Keisuke Nansai & Yuki Kudoh, 2012. "Accounting for Changes in Automobile Gasoline Consumption in Japan: 2000–2007," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 1(1), pages 1-27, December.
    3. Jesper Stage, 2002. "Structural Shifts In Namibian Energy Use: An Input‐Output Approach," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 70(6), pages 1103-1125, September.
    4. Xie, Rui & Wang, Fangfang & Chevallier, Julien & Zhu, Bangzhu & Zhao, Guomei, 2018. "Supply-side structural effects of air pollutant emissions in China: A comparative analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 89-95.
    5. Marco Gallegati, 2019. "A system for dating long wave phases in economic development," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 803-822, July.
    6. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2024. "A matrix unified framework for deriving various impulse responses in Markov switching VAR: Evidence from oil and gas markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    7. Jacks, David S. & Stuermer, Martin, 2020. "What drives commodity price booms and busts?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    8. Rodríguez-Puello, Gabriel, 2024. "Digging for Trouble? Uncovering the Link Between Mining Booms and Crime," OSF Preprints s8ayp_v1, Center for Open Science.
    9. Arpita Chatterjee & Richa Saraf, 2017. "Impact of China on World Commodity Prices and Commodity Exporters," Discussion Papers 2017-13, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    10. Andrea Bastianin & Alessandro Lanza & Matteo Manera, 2018. "Economic impacts of El Niño southern oscillation: evidence from the Colombian coffee market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(5), pages 623-633, September.
    11. Erik Dietzenbacher & Jesper Stage, 2006. "Mixing oil and water? Using hybrid input-output tables in a Structural decomposition analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 85-95.
    12. Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner & Andrés Yany, 2015. "Terms of Trade Shocks and Investment in Commodity-Exporting Economies," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Rodrigo Caputo & Roberto Chang (ed.),Commodity Prices and Macroeconomic Policy, edition 1, volume 22, chapter 5, pages 135-193, Central Bank of Chile.
    13. Ling Yang & Michael L. Lahr, 2019. "The Drivers of China’s Regional Carbon Emission Change—A Structural Decomposition Analysis from 1997 to 2007," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, June.
    14. Bernardina Algieri, 2014. "A roller coaster ride: an empirical investigation of the main drivers of the international wheat price," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(4), pages 459-475, July.
    15. Ignacio Cazcarro & Rosa Duarte & Miguel Martín-Retortillo & Vicente Pinilla & Ana Serrano, 2014. "Water scarcity and agricultural growth in Spain: from curse to blessing?," Documentos de Trabajo (DT-AEHE) 1419, Asociación Española de Historia Económica.
    16. Rosa Duarte & Vicente Pinilla & Ana Serrano, 2015. "Global water in a global world a long term study on agricultural virtual water flows in the world," Documentos de Trabajo dt2015-03, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad de Zaragoza.
    17. Mohlin, Kristina & Camuzeaux, Jonathan R. & Muller, Adrian & Schneider, Marius & Wagner, Gernot, 2018. "Factoring in the forgotten role of renewables in CO2 emission trends using decomposition analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 290-296.
    18. Zhang, Pingdan & Yuan, Haoming & Bai, Fuli & Tian, Xin & Shi, Feng, 2018. "How do carbon dioxide emissions respond to industrial structural transitions? Empirical results from the northeastern provinces of China," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 145-154.
    19. Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023. "Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 551-572.
    20. Inácio Araúgo & Randall Jackson & Amir B. Ferreira Neto & Fernando Perobelli, 2018. "Environmental Costs of European Union Membership: A Structural Decomposition Analysis," Working Papers Working Paper 2018-04, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    indústria; importações; câmbio; análise de decomposição estrutural;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2024_012. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eduardo Amaral Haddad (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/neuspbr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.