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Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy: An Asian Stock Market Perspective

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  • Yoshino, Naoyuki

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Hassanzadeh, Ali

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Prasetyo, Ahmad Danu

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

Abstract

We estimate the response of Asian stock market prices to exogenous monetary policy shocks using a vector error correction model. In our paper, monetary policy transmits to stock market price through three routes: money by itself, exchange rate, and inflation. Our result points to the fact that stock prices increase persistently in response to an exogenous easing monetary policy. Variance deposition results show that, after 10 periods, the forecast error variance of beyond 53% of the Tehran Stock Exchange Price Index (TEPIX) can be explained by exogenous shocks to the US dollar–Iranian rial exchange rate, while this ratio for exogenous shocks to Iranian real gross domestic product was only 17%. We argue that such evidence can be accounted for by an endogenous response of the stock prices to the monetary policy shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Hassanzadeh, Ali & Prasetyo, Ahmad Danu, 2014. "Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy: An Asian Stock Market Perspective," ADBI Working Papers 497, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0497
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    Cited by:

    1. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Hiroaki Miyamoto, 2017. "The Ineffectiveness of Japan’s Negative Interest Rate Policy," ADB Institute Series on Development Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary (ed.), Japan’s Lost Decade, chapter 0, pages 147-168, Springer.
    2. Farhad Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2015. "Macroeconomic effects of oil price fluctuations on emerging and developed economies in a model incorporating monetary variables," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(2), pages 51-75.
    3. Minh Phi, Nguyet Thi & Hong Hoang, Hanh Thi & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2019. "The Basel Capital Requirement, Lending Interest Rate, and Aggregate Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Viet Nam," ADBI Working Papers 916, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    4. Farhad Taghizadeh‐Hesary & Naoyuki Yoshino & Sayoko Shimizu, 2020. "The impact of monetary and tax policy on income inequality in Japan," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(10), pages 2600-2621, October.
    5. Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2016. "Optimal Credit Guarantee Ratio for Asia," ADBI Working Papers 586, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    6. Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Nili, Farhad, 2015. "Estimating Dual Deposit Insurance Premium Rates and Forecasting Non-performing Loans: Two New Models," ADBI Working Papers 510, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    7. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Farhad Nili, 2019. "Fair premium rate of the deposit insurance system based on banks’ creditworthiness," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(1), pages 8-31, May.
    8. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2017. "Trade Linkages and Transmission of Oil Price Fluctuations in a Model Incorporating Monetary Variables," ADBI Working Papers 777, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    9. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Mortha, Aline & Farabi-Asl, Hadi & Sarker, Tapan & Chapman, Andrew & Shigetomi, Yosuke & Fraser, Timothy, 2020. "Role of energy finance in geothermal power development in Japan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 398-412.
    10. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Chang, Youngho, 2019. "Trade linkages and transmission of oil price fluctuations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    11. Grzegorz Przekota, 2022. "Do High Fuel Prices Pose an Obstacle to Economic Growth? A Study for Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-15, September.
    12. Opoku Adabor & Emmanuel Buabeng, 2020. "Does Monetary Policy and Foreign Direct Investment Have an Influence on the Performance of Stock Market: Further Empirical Evidence from Ghana," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 161-176, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asian stock market; monetary policy shocks; vector error correction model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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