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Fair premium rate of the deposit insurance system based on banks’ creditworthiness

Author

Listed:
  • Naoyuki Yoshino
  • Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary
  • Farhad Nili

Abstract

Purpose - Deposit insurance is a key element in modern banking, as it guarantees the financial safety of deposits at depository financial institutions. It is necessary to have at least a dual fair premium rate system based on creditworthiness of financial institutions, as considering singular premium system for all banks will have moral hazard. This paper aims to develop theoretical and empirical model for calculating dual fair premium rates. Design/methodology/approach - The definition of a fair premium rate in this paper is a rate that covers the operational expenditures of the deposit insuring organization, provides it with sufficient funds to enable it to pay a certain percentage share of deposit amounts to depositors in case of bank default and provides it with sufficient funds as precautionary reserves. To identify and classify healthier and more stable banks, the authors use credit rating methods that use two major dimensional reduction techniques. For forecasting nonperforming loans (NPLs), the authors develop a model that can capture both macro shocks and idiosyncratic shocks to financial institutions in a vector error correction model. Findings - The response of NPLs/loans to macro shocks and idiosyncratic innovations shows that using a model with macro variables only is insufficient, as it is possible that under favorable economic conditions, some banks show negative performance due to bank level reasons such as mismanagement or vice versa. The final results show that deposit insurance premium rate needs to be vary based on banks’ creditworthiness. Originality/value - The results provide interesting insight for financial authorities to set fair deposit insurance premium rate. A high premium rate reduces the capital adequacy of individual financial institutions, which endangers the stability of the financial system; a low premium rate will reduce the security of the financial system.

Suggested Citation

  • Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Farhad Nili, 2019. "Fair premium rate of the deposit insurance system based on banks’ creditworthiness," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(1), pages 8-31, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:sefpps:sef-05-2017-0105
    DOI: 10.1108/SEF-05-2017-0105
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Ali Hassanzadeh & Ahmad Danu Prasetyo, 2014. "Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy : An Asian Stock Market Perspective," Macroeconomics Working Papers 24516, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Kim Abildgren, 2016. "Household micro-data, regulation and financial stability: the case of Denmark in the 1950s," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 33(2), pages 320-335, June.
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    6. Buser, Stephen A & Chen, Andrew H & Kane, Edward J, 1981. "Federal Deposit Insurance, Regulatory Policy, and Optimal Bank Capital," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(1), pages 51-60, March.
    7. Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Charoensivakorn, Phadet & Niraula, Baburam, 2015. "SME Credit Risk Analysis Using Bank Lending Data: An Analysis of Thai SMEs," ADBI Working Papers 536, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    8. Yoshino, Naoyuki & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2014. "Hometown Investment Trust Funds: An Analysis of Credit Risk," ADBI Working Papers 505, Asian Development Bank Institute.
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    Cited by:

    1. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Yoshino, Naoyuki & Fukuda, Lisa & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2021. "A model for calculating optimal credit guarantee fee for small and medium-sized enterprises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 361-373.
    2. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Phoumin, Han & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan, 2022. "COVID-19 and regional solutions for mitigating the risk of SME finance in selected ASEAN member states," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 506-525.
    3. Chen, Qian & Shen, Chuang, 2023. "Deposit insurance system, risk-adjusted premium and bank systemic risk: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Deposit insurance premium rate; Forecasting nonperforming loans; Idiosyncratic shocks; G28; G21; E44;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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