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Redevelopment Option Value for Commercial Real Estate

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  • Simon B chler, Alex van de Minne, Olivier Sch ni

Abstract

We analyze the impact of the redevelopment potential on commercial real estate transaction prices. First, using a probit model, we compute the fitted redevelopment potential. This potential is primarily determined by the difference in net operating income (NOI) per square foot of land (sql) to the potential highest and best use (HBU) of the property. This difference reflects the economic obsolescence of a property. Second, we run a 2SLS model with the fitted redevelopment potential as an instrument for the redevelopment dummy. We find that having a 100 percent redevelopment potential increases the property's price by nine to 17 percent.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon B chler, Alex van de Minne, Olivier Sch ni, 2020. "Redevelopment Option Value for Commercial Real Estate," Diskussionsschriften credresearchpaper26, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft - CRED.
    • Handle: RePEc:rdv:wpaper:credresearchpaper26
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Probability of redevelopment; Real Estate Pricing; Competing Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R32 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Other Spatial Production and Pricing Analysis
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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