IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ptu/wpaper/o202403.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Monitoring the EU-UK FDI links following Brexit

Author

Listed:
  • Ana M. de Almeida
  • Graeme Walsh
  • Horatiu Lovin
  • Marek Benda
  • Wilko Bolt

Abstract

This article provides an overview of recent developments in the EU-UK foreign direct investment (FDI) relationships since Brexit. We begin with a conjunctural analysis that looks at recent trends in EU-UK FDI at a broad level, which includes detail at the sectoral and geographical level. Also included in the conjunctural analysis is a breakdown of foreign affiliates and an investigation of new FDI projects and jobs in the UK. We then look at recent developments in the financial sector, in terms of the real economy, FDI flows, banks, insurance companies, pension funds, and its evolving status as a leading global financial centre. The final part of the article turns to non-conjunctural analysis and provides an econometric investigation into the potential impact of Brexit in EU-UK FDI using a gravity-modelling approach. The formal analysis is a non-trivial exercise because the Brexit period overlaps with other significant events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Compared to a no-Brexit scenario, we find that Brexit contributed to a decline in EU FDI flows between the EU and the UK of around 4 per cent. Furthermore, business relocations involving temporary capital flows among important European financial centers marked the significant challenge the UK exit from the EU brought to the financial sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana M. de Almeida & Graeme Walsh & Horatiu Lovin & Marek Benda & Wilko Bolt, 2024. "Monitoring the EU-UK FDI links following Brexit," Working Papers o202403, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:ptu:wpaper:o202403
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bportugal.pt/sites/default/files/documents/2024-12/OP202403.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jushan Bai, 2009. "Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1229-1279, July.
    2. Pegkas, Panagiotis, 2015. "The impact of FDI on economic growth in Eurozone countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 124-132.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Iván Fernández-Val & Martin Weidner, 2018. "Fixed Effects Estimation of Large-TPanel Data Models," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 109-138, August.
    2. Patrick Bajari & Victor Chernozhukov & Ali Hortaçsu & Junichi Suzuki, 2019. "The Impact of Big Data on Firm Performance: An Empirical Investigation," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 33-37, May.
    3. Kinateder, Harald & Wagner, Niklas, 2017. "Quantitative easing and the pricing of EMU sovereign debt," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
    4. Anatolyev, Stanislav & Mikusheva, Anna, 2021. "Limit Theorems For Factor Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(5), pages 1034-1074, October.
    5. Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & O. Scaillet, 2022. "Eigenvalue tests for the number of latent factors in short panels," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-81, Swiss Finance Institute.
    6. Wang, Peiwen & Chen, Minghua & Wu, Ji & Yan, Yuanyun, 2023. "Do peer effects matter in bank risk? Some cross-country evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Westerlund, Joakim & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2019. "Panel evidence on the ability of oil returns to predict stock returns in the G7 area," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 3-12.
    8. Guido M. Kuersteiner & Ingmar R. Prucha, 2020. "Dynamic Spatial Panel Models: Networks, Common Shocks, and Sequential Exogeneity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(5), pages 2109-2146, September.
    9. Hyungsik Roger Moon & Martin Weidner, 2015. "Linear Regression for Panel With Unknown Number of Factors as Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83(4), pages 1543-1579, July.
    10. Thomas Kniesner & W. Viscusi & James Ziliak, 2014. "Willingness to accept equals willingness to pay for labor market estimates of the value of a statistical life," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 187-205, June.
    11. Chen, Liang, 2012. "Identifying observed factors in approximate factor models: estimation and hypothesis testing," MPRA Paper 37514, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Jeffrey Kouton, 2021. "The impact of renewable energy consumption on inclusive growth: panel data analysis in 44 African countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 145-170, February.
    13. Harouna Sedgo & Luc Désiré Omgba, 2023. "Corruption and distortion of public expenditures: evidence from Africa," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(2), pages 419-452, April.
    14. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph Nnanna, 2020. "Governance and the Capital Flight Trap in Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 20/024, African Governance and Development Institute..
    15. Bin Peng & Giovanni Forchini, 2012. "Consistent Estimation of Panel Data Models with a Multi-factor Error Structure," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0112, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    16. Pamela E. Ofori & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2021. "The Synergy between Governance and Economic Integration in Promoting Female Economic Inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 21/071, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    17. Lee, Jungyoon & Robinson, Peter M., 2016. "Series estimation under cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 1-17.
    18. Brücker, Herbert & Bertoli, Simone & Fernández-Huertas Moraga, Jesús, 2013. "The European Crisis and Migration to Germany: Expectations and the Diversion of Migration Flows," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79693, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    19. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Sudipto Roy, 2019. "Abnormal Returns or Mismeasured Risk? Network Effects and Risk Spillover in Stock Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-13, March.
    20. Simon Freyaldenhoven & Christian Hansen & Jorge Perez Perez & Jesse Shapiro, 2021. "Visualization, Identification, and stimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design," Working Papers 21-44, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ptu:wpaper:o202403. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: DEE-NTD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bdpgvpt.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.