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Les règles de Taylor à l’épreuve de la révolution : cas de l’Égypte
[The Taylor rule to the test of the revolution: the case of Egypt]

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  • baaziz, yosra

Abstract

This paper challenges the suitability of a nonlinear Taylor rule in characterizing the monetary policy behavior of Egyptian central bank), especially in turbulent times. More specifically, we investigate the possibility that the Taylor rule should be formulated as a threshold process and examine the validity of such nonlinear Taylor rule as a robust rule for conducting monetary policy in Egypt. Analytical results show that nonlinear Taylor rule holds and that adopting a nonlinear specification instead of the linear leads to a costs reduction in terms of fit: 90 basis point in 2008-Q4 and 20 basis point in post-revolution.

Suggested Citation

  • baaziz, yosra, 2016. "Les règles de Taylor à l’épreuve de la révolution : cas de l’Égypte [The Taylor rule to the test of the revolution: the case of Egypt]," MPRA Paper 69779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:69779
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    nonlinear Taylor rule; Logistic Smooth Transition Regression (LSTR); special events; costs in terms of fit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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