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The Determinants of International Migration in Pakistan: New Evidence from Combined Cointegration, Causality and Innovative Accounting Approach

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  • Ahad, Muhammad

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of international migration over the period of 1980-2013 for Pakistan. In order to investigate the relationship between migration, inflation, remittances and unemployment, we have applied Bayer-Hanck combined cointegration to test whether a long run relationship exists between variables or not. The results predict that series are stationary at 1st difference and cointegration exist among variables. VECM Granger causality explains that inflation, remittances and unemployment cause migration in both short and long run. Variance Decomposition Approach shows that unemployment has highest share in explaining migration and migration also has highest share in explaining unemployment in both short run and long run. Policy maker should focus on reduction of unemployment by promoting real sector economic activates to control international migration.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahad, Muhammad, 2015. "The Determinants of International Migration in Pakistan: New Evidence from Combined Cointegration, Causality and Innovative Accounting Approach," MPRA Paper 68542, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:68542
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    Cited by:

    1. Sidra Feroz & Bushra Yasmin, 2021. "Terrorism and Brain Drain in Pakistan: Is There a Connection?," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 22(1), pages 73-87, March.
    2. Riffat Rehman & Muqaddas Mazhar & Sadia Khan & Humaira Waseem, 2021. "Causes of Rural-Urban Migration and Its Effect on Quality of Life," ILMA Journal of Social Sciences & Economics (IJSSE), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 1(1), pages 34-48.
    3. Serhat Yüksel & Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Ceyhun Mahmudlu & Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Anar Iskandarov, 2018. "Measuring International Migration in Azerbaijan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-15, January.
    4. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "The Impact of Digitalization and Patent on Economic Growth in Romania," MPRA Paper 113951, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Nusrat Mahnoor & Yasmin Bushra, 2022. "Reinforcing Effect of Terrorism and Corruption Nexus on Net Migration from Developing Countries: An Empirical Analysis," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 25(2), pages 65-83.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Migration; Remittance; Unemployment; Cointegration; Innovative Accounting Approach; Pakistan.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration

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