IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/65831.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Causality between financial development and economic growth, and the Islamic finance imperative: A case study of Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Ismail, Mohamed Ayaz Mohamed
  • Masih, Mansur

Abstract

Indonesia has been rapidly showing signs of advanced economic development. The country’s central bank is of the view that with the unbanked accounting for more than half of the population, the potential for growth in the world’s biggest Muslim population is immense. This article makes an attempt to test the possible directions of causality between financial development and economic growth, with Indonesia as a case study. It also discusses the results in the context of the development of Islamic finance in Indonesia. The study is conducted by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (ARDL) analysis (also known as the Bounds testing procedure) proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001). This article is believed to be one of the first to extend the finance-growth nexus discussion to include the development of Islamic finance. The study finds a unique cointegrating relationship among GDP per capita, gross fixed capital formation, annual population growth rate, and domestic credit to private sector. These findings have clear policy implications in that a policy of development and growth of the financial sector will help enhance economic growth, and will provide the necessary base from which Indonesia can significantly enhance its Islamic finance industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismail, Mohamed Ayaz Mohamed & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Causality between financial development and economic growth, and the Islamic finance imperative: A case study of Indonesia," MPRA Paper 65831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65831
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65831/1/MPRA_paper_65831.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Demetriades, Panicos O. & Hussein, Khaled A., 1996. "Does financial development cause economic growth? Time-series evidence from 16 countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 387-411, December.
    2. Masih, Mansur & Algahtani, Ibrahim, 2008. "Estimation of Long-run Demand for Money: An Application of Long-run Structural Modelling to Saudi Arabia," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 61(1), pages 81-99.
    3. Law, Siong Hook & Azman-Saini, W.N.W. & Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2013. "Institutional quality thresholds and the finance – Growth nexus," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5373-5381.
    4. Law, Siong Hook & Singh, Nirvikar, 2014. "Does too much finance harm economic growth?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 36-44.
    5. Colombage, Sisira R.N., 2009. "Financial markets and economic performances: Empirical evidence from five industrialized economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 339-348, September.
    6. Cheng, Su-Yin, 2012. "Substitution or complementary effects between banking and stock markets: Evidence from financial openness in Taiwan," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 508-520.
    7. Huang, Ho-Chuan & Lin, Shu-Chin & Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Yeh, Chih-Chuan, 2010. "Inflation and the finance-growth nexus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 229-236, January.
    8. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Mohd, Siti Hamizah & Mansur M. Masih, A., 2009. "The stability of money demand in China: Evidence from the ARDL model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 231-244, September.
    9. Mansur Masih & Ali Al-Elg & Haider Madani, 2009. "Causality between financial development and economic growth: an application of vector error correction and variance decomposition methods to Saudi Arabia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(13), pages 1691-1699.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdul Rahim Ridzuan & Bayu Arie Fianto & Miguel Angel Esquivias & Vikniswari Vija Kumaran & Mohd Shahidan Shaari & Aliashim Albani, 2022. "Do Financial Development and Trade Liberalization Influence Environmental Quality in Indonesia? Evidence-based on ARDL Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 342-351, September.
    2. Ramesh Chandra Das & Bankim Ghosh, 2021. "Long Run and Short Run Linkages Between Credit and Output: An Appraisal of the Districts of West Bengal in India," International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management (IJABIM), IGI Global, vol. 12(2), pages 110-123, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ng, Adam & Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2015. "Property rights and the stock market-growth nexus," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 48-63.
    2. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe & Hooi Hooi Lean & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2019. "Moderating effect of inflation on the finance–growth nexus: insights from West African countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 399-422, August.
    3. repec:zbw:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201505061169 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Laiz, Marcela Tetzner, 2021. "The finance-growth nexus: The role of banks," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(1).
    5. Samargandi, Nahla & Fidrmuc, Jan & Ghosh, Sugata, 2015. "Is the Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth Monotonic? Evidence from a Sample of Middle-Income Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 66-81.
    6. Ehigiamusoe, Kizito Uyi & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2020. "The role of deficit and debt in financing growth in West Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 216-234.
    7. Law, Siong Hook & Kutan, Ali M. & Naseem, N.A.M., 2018. "The role of institutions in finance curse: Evidence from international data," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 174-191.
    8. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201505061169 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe & Mohamad Shaharudin Samsurijan, 2021. "What matters for finance‐growth nexus? A critical survey of macroeconomic stability, institutions, financial and economic development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5302-5320, October.
    10. Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B. & Bahmani, Sahar & Hall, John H. & Norman, Neville R., 2017. "Finance and growth: Evidence from the ARF countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 136-148.
    11. Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell, 2016. "Oil curse and finance–growth nexus in Malaysia: The role of investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 154-165.
    12. Panicos O. Demetriades & Johan M. Rewilak & Peter L. Rousseau, 2024. "Finance, Growth, and Fragility," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 66(1), pages 29-49, August.
    13. Mikhail Stolbov, 2017. "Causality between credit depth and economic growth: evidence from 24 OECD countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 493-524, September.
    14. Olufemi A. Aluko & Muazu Ibrahim, 2020. "Institutions and the financial development–economic growth nexus in sub‐Saharan Africa," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 49(3), September.
    15. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi, 2022. "On the transmission mechanisms in the finance–growth nexus in Southern African countries: Does institution matter?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 153-191, February.
    16. Abbas, Aadil & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Which investment (private or public) does contribute to economic growth more? a case study of South Africa," MPRA Paper 108919, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Kondoz, Mehmet & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Athari, Seyed Alireza, 2021. "Time-frequency dependencies of financial and economic risks in South American countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 170-181.
    18. Bruno Bonizzi & Christina Laskaridis & Jan Toporowski, 2015. "EU Development Policy And The Promotion Of The Financial Sector," Working papers wpaper120, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    19. Abu Bakar, Norhidayah & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Is islamic stock related to interest rate ? Malaysian evidence," MPRA Paper 101190, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Elya Nabila Abdul Bahri & Abu Hassan Shaari Md Nor & Tamat Sarmidi & Nor Hakimah Haji Mohd Nor, 2019. "The Role of Financial Development in the Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Nonlinear Approach," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(02), pages 1-32, June.
    21. Mansor Ibrahim, 2018. "Finance And Inequality In Eight Asian Countries: Does Size Matter," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(1), pages 33-56, July.
    22. Su-Yin Cheng & Han Hou, 2022. "Innovation, financial development, and growth: evidences from industrial and emerging countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1629-1653, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Development; Economic Growth; Islamic Finance; ARDL Approach; Indonesia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65831. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.