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Investigation on the Determinants of Turkish Export-Boom in 2000s

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  • Aysan, Ahmet Faruk
  • Hacihasanoglu, Yavuz Selim

Abstract

This paper investigates the causes of Turkish export-boom after 2000 in the manufacturing sector. We mainly concentrate on cost and productivity aspects of the production in the manufacturing sector. Effects of productivity, wage and exchange rate are analyzed in the framework of the augmented unit labor cost model. Following the Edwards and Golub (2004) paper we use the dynamic panel data techniques for the analysis. In addition, the importance of the above mentioned factors is examined for the rising and declining sectors. We find that manufacturing export is negatively related to the unit labor cost (ULC). Decomposition of ULC into its two components also shows that an improvement in productivity increases export while an increase in nominal wages decreases it. We also find that nominal wage is an important factor in the declining sectors while productivity is the stimulus in rising sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Hacihasanoglu, Yavuz Selim, 2007. "Investigation on the Determinants of Turkish Export-Boom in 2000s," MPRA Paper 5493, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:5493
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    Cited by:

    1. Kamil Yilmaz & Umit Izmen, 2009. "Turkey's Recent Trade and Foreign Direct Investment Performance," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 0902, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    2. Gulay Gunluk-Senesen & Umit Senesen, 2011. "Decomposition Of Labour Demand By Employer Sectors And Gender: Findings For Major Exporting Sectors In Turkey," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 233-253.
    3. Tolga Cebeci & Ana M. Fernandes, 2015. "Microdynamics of Turkey's Export Boom in the 2000s," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 825-855, May.
    4. Anıl BÖLÜKOĞLU, 2019. "Demand Regime of Turkey: A Post-Keynesian Econometric Analysis," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(42).
    5. Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "International Business Cycle Spillovers," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 0903, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2009.
    6. Güzin Bayar, 2018. "Estimating export equations: a survey of the literature," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 629-672, March.
    7. Adly Amr Ismail, 2010. "Politically-Embedded Cronyism: The Case of Post-Liberalization Egypt," Business and Politics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 1-28, January.
    8. Ceren Gündoğdu & Dürdane Şirin Saracoğlu, 2016. "Participation of Turkey in Global Value Chains: An Analysis Based on World Input Output Database," ERC Working Papers 1610, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Sep 2016.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Manufacturing export; unit labor cost; wage; productivity; real effective exchange rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

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