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Demand for Foreign Exchange Reserves in India: A Co-integration Approach

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  • Prabheesh, K P
  • Malathy, D
  • Madhumathi, R

Abstract

Using cointegraion and vector error correction approach, we estimate India’s demand for foreign exchange reserves over the period 1983:1-2005:1. Our results establish that the ratio imports to GDP, the ratio of broad money to GDP,exchange rate flexibility and interest rate differential determine India’s long-run reserves demand function. Our empirical results show that reserve accumulation in India is highly sensitive to capital account vulnerability and less sensitive to its opportunity cost. The speed of adjustment coefficient of vector error correction model suggests that Reserve Bank of India has to engage in more active reserve management practices.

Suggested Citation

  • Prabheesh, K P & Malathy, D & Madhumathi, R, 2007. "Demand for Foreign Exchange Reserves in India: A Co-integration Approach," MPRA Paper 13969, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13969
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Po-Chin Wu & Chung-Chih Lee, 2018. "The non-linear impact of monetary policy on international reserves: macroeconomic variables nexus," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(1), pages 165-185, February.
    2. Samih Antoine Azar & Wael Aboukhodor, 2017. "Foreign Exchange Reserves and the Macro-economy in the GCC Countries," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(3), pages 1-72, August.
    3. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2017. "Exchange Rates and International Reserves in India," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 18(1), pages 76-93, March.
    4. Eliza, Nor & M., Azali & Law, Siong-Hook & Lee, Chin, 2008. "Demand For International Reserves in ASEAN-5 Economies," MPRA Paper 11735, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Nebiye, Sinem & Yamak, Nebiye, 2014. "Demand for International Reserves in Turkey," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(52), pages 63-76, June.
    6. Shijaku, Gerti & Dushku, Elona, 2017. "Foreign reserve holdings: an extended study through risk-inspired motives," MPRA Paper 79199, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Shijaku, Gerti, 2012. "Optimal level of reserve holding: an empirical investigation in the case of Albania," MPRA Paper 79091, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Saidul Islam, 2021. "Macroeconomic determinants of the demand for international reserves in Bangladesh," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 1-29, February.
    9. Moid U. Ahmad, 2015. "Does CRR and Repo Change Affect Corporate Output?," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 4(1-2), pages 115-125, June.
    10. Mohammad Kashif & P. Sridharan & S. Thiyagarajan, 2017. "Factors Affecting International Reserves with Special Reference to India," Vision, , vol. 21(4), pages 339-349, December.
    11. Moid U. AHMAD & Shamima NASRIN, 2017. "An analysis of the effect of monetary policy changes on macroeconomic factors," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 303-318, Summer.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign exchange reserves; capital account vulnerability; current account vulnerability; cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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