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Contagious Migration : Evidence from the Philippines

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  • Michael Ralph M. Abrigo

    (Philippine Institute for Development Studies)

  • Desiree A. Desierto

    (School of Economics, University of the Philippines Diliman)

Abstract

Outward migration data from the Philippines exhibit spatial clustering. This is likely due to information spillover effects-­-fellow migrants share information with other neighboring migrants, thereby lowering the costs of migration. To verify this, we use spatial econometrics to define a geography-­based network of migrants and estimate its effect on the growth in the number of succeeding migrants. We find that current and past migration from one municipality induces contemporaneous and future migration in neighboring municipalities, even while controlling for demographic, economic and institutional factors that may be common across municipalities.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Ralph M. Abrigo & Desiree A. Desierto, 2011. "Contagious Migration : Evidence from the Philippines," UP School of Economics Discussion Papers 201106, University of the Philippines School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:phs:dpaper:201106
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    File URL: http://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/674/139
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Javorcik, Beata S. & Özden, Çaglar & Spatareanu, Mariana & Neagu, Cristina, 2011. "Migrant networks and foreign direct investment," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 231-241, March.
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    3. Yu, Jihai & de Jong, Robert & Lee, Lung-fei, 2008. "Quasi-maximum likelihood estimators for spatial dynamic panel data with fixed effects when both n and T are large," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 118-134, September.
    4. Sally Findley, 1987. "An interactive contextual model of migration in Ilocos Norte, the Philippines," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 24(2), pages 163-190, May.
    5. Tao Ran & Mr. R. Brooks, 2003. "China's Labor Market Performance and Challenges," IMF Working Papers 2003/210, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Kaivan Munshi, 2003. "Networks in the Modern Economy: Mexican Migrants in the U. S. Labor Market," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(2), pages 549-599.
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    Cited by:

    1. María Hierro & Adolfo Maza & José Villaverde, 2013. "A proposal for detecting spatial contagion: Some evidence on the international migration distribution in Spain," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 92(4), pages 811-829, November.
    2. Diwa C Guinigundo, 2018. "The globalisation experience and its challenges for the Philippine economy," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and deglobalisation, volume 100, pages 259-272, Bank for International Settlements.

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