IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/y8rzh.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Perceptions of the Consequences of War in Ukraine: Exploring a Russian Paradox

Author

Listed:
  • Gugushvili, Alexi

Abstract

This study examines public perceptions of the Ukraine war, focusing on Russian attitudes toward its economic and political impacts compared to other countries. Drawing on theoretical perspectives such as the Spiral of Silence and collective action constraints, this research explores how sociopolitical context shapes public opinion in an authoritarian country. Using cross-national survey data, the analysis reveals significant differences in war-related assessments. Despite severe economic repercussions, many Russians report optimism about the war’s effects, especially on economic growth, diverging from the prevalent concerns in neighboring nations. Key factors such as gender, education, region of residence, institutional trust, and media consumption explain the heterogeneity in these perceptions. The findings underscore the role of individual characteristics, regional contexts, and institutional trust in sustaining public support for conflict in complex sociopolitical environments, contributing to broader discussions on national contexts and public attitudes in wartime.

Suggested Citation

  • Gugushvili, Alexi, 2024. "Perceptions of the Consequences of War in Ukraine: Exploring a Russian Paradox," SocArXiv y8rzh, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:y8rzh
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/y8rzh
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://osf.io/download/676419efc2e971a5cd433918/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31219/osf.io/y8rzh?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2024. "The impact of Russia–Ukraine war on crude oil prices: an EMC framework," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Vera Tolz & Stephen Hutchings, 2023. "Truth with a Z: disinformation, war in Ukraine, and Russia’s contradictory discourse of imperial identity," Post-Soviet Affairs, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(5), pages 347-365, September.
    3. Tong, Eric, 2024. "Repercussions of the Russia–Ukraine war," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 366-390.
    4. Russell J. Dalton, 2008. "Citizenship Norms and the Expansion of Political Participation," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 56(1), pages 76-98, March.
    5. Oleh Semenenko & Maryna Sliusarenko & Andrii Onofriichuk & Vitalii Onofriichuk & Artem Remez, 2024. "Impact of the Russian–Ukrainian War on the National Economy of Russia," Journal of Interdisciplinary Economics, , vol. 36(1), pages 41-57, January.
    6. Nan Tian & Diego Lopes da Silva & Lucie Béraud-Sudreau & Xiao Liang & Lorenzo Scarazzato & Ana Assis, 2023. "Developments in Military Expenditure and the Effects of the War in Ukraine," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(5), pages 547-562, July.
    7. Debra Javeline & Sarah Lindemann-Komarova, 2020. "Financing Russian Civil Society," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 72(4), pages 644-685, April.
    8. Russell J. Dalton, 2008. "Citizenship Norms and the Expansion of Political Participation," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 56, pages 76-98, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jennifer Oser & Marc Hooghe & Zsuzsa Bakk & Roberto Mari, 2023. "Changing citizenship norms among adolescents, 1999-2009-2016: A two-step latent class approach with measurement equivalence testing," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 4915-4933, October.
    2. An, Youngeun & Lee, Youngsun & Oh, Soon-young & Lee, Jeong Youn, 2024. "How can young adults be civically engaged? The role of academic achievement standards in enhancing civic and social engagement in the case of South Korea," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    3. Piatak Jaclyn, 2023. "Do Sociocultural Factors Drive Civic Engagement? An Examination of Political Interest and Religious Attendance," Nonprofit Policy Forum, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 185-204, April.
    4. Sofie Marien & Marc Hooghe & Ellen Quintelier, 2010. "Inequalities in Non‐institutionalised Forms of Political Participation: A Multi‐level Analysis of 25 countries," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 58(1), pages 187-213, February.
    5. Li, Xuan, 2020. "The critical assessment of the youth policy and youth civic engagement in Denmark and three Danish municipalities," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    6. Simon Briole & Marc Gurgand & Eric Maurin & Sandra McNally & Jenifer Ruiz-Valenzuela & Daniel Santin, 2022. "The making of civic virtues: a school-based experiment in three countries," CEP Discussion Papers dp1830, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    7. Cato Waeterloos & Peter Conradie & Michel Walrave & Koen Ponnet, 2021. "Digital Issue Movements: Political Repertoires and Drivers of Participation among Belgian Youth in the Context of ‘School Strike for Climate’," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Ramos Javier & Padilla Javier & Chueca Enrique, 2019. "Abstentionism, Voting Advice Applications and Voting Activation," Statistics, Politics and Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 55-85, June.
    9. Quinton Mayne & Brigitte Geißel, 2018. "Don’t Good Democracies Need “Good” Citizens? Citizen Dispositions and the Study of Democratic Quality," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 6(1), pages 33-47.
    10. Yingying Sun & Yue Zhang, 2019. "Who Is Happier in China? Exploring Determinant Factors Using Religion as a Moderator," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-17, November.
    11. Jaeyoung Lim & Kuk-Kyoung Moon, 2022. "Does Political Participation Strengthen the Relationship between Civic Morality and Environmentally Friendly Attitudes? Evidence from South Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-13, February.
    12. Carolyn Barber & Jessica Ross, 2018. "Cross-Cohort Changes in Adolescents’ Civic Attitudes from 1999 to 2009: An Analysis of Sixteen Countries," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 11(2), pages 681-703, April.
    13. Michele Micheletti & Dietlind Stolle, 2012. "Sustainable Citizenship and the New Politics of Consumption," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 644(1), pages 88-120, November.
    14. Livia Elisa Ortensi & Veronica Riniolo, 2020. "Do Migrants Get Involved in Politics? Levels, Forms and Drivers of Migrant Political Participation in Italy," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 133-153, March.
    15. Wen-Chun Chang, 2018. "Media Use and Satisfaction with Democracy: Testing the Role of Political Interest," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 999-1016, December.
    16. Plamen Mirazchiyski & Daniel Caro & Andrés Sandoval-Hernández, 2014. "Youth Future Civic Participation in Europe: Differences Between the East and the Rest," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 1031-1055, February.
    17. Scott J. LaCombe & Courtney Juelich, 2019. "Salient Ballot Measures and the Millennial Vote," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(2), pages 198-212.
    18. Valentina Polci & Ilenia Pierantoni, 2024. "Innovating the Local Plan through Co-Creation and the Public Sociology Approach toward Urban Regeneration: An Italian Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-14, April.
    19. Robert Klemmensen & Peter K Hatemi & Sara Binzer Hobolt & Inge Petersen & Axel Skytthe & Asbjørn S Nørgaard, 2012. "The genetics of political participation, civic duty, and political efficacy across cultures: Denmark and the United States," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 24(3), pages 409-427, July.
    20. Natallia Sianko & Mark A. Small & Migena Kapllanaj & Edita Fino & Merita Mece, 2022. "Who Will Sustain a Culture of Democracy in Post-Communist States? Examining Patterns of Democratic Competence among Youth in Albania and Belarus," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 162(1), pages 351-375, July.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:y8rzh. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: OSF (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arabixiv.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.