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Does Halting Refugee Resettlement Reduce Crime? Evidence from the US Refugee Ban

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  • Masterson, Daniel

    (University of California, Santa Barbara)

  • Yasenov, Vasil

Abstract

Many countries have reduced refugee admissions in recent years, in part due to fears that refugees and asylum seekers increase crime rates and pose a national security risk. Existing research presents ambiguous expectations about the consequences of refugee resettlement on crime. We leverage a natural experiment in the US, where an Executive Order by the president in January 2017 halted refugee resettlement. This policy change was sudden and significant -- it resulted in the lowest number of refugees resettled on US soil since 1977 and a 66% drop in resettlement from 2016 to 2017. In this letter we find that there is no discernible effect on county-level property or violent crime rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Masterson, Daniel & Yasenov, Vasil, 2018. "Does Halting Refugee Resettlement Reduce Crime? Evidence from the US Refugee Ban," SocArXiv w2x7p_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:w2x7p_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/w2x7p_v1
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    1. Lechner, Michael, 2011. "The Estimation of Causal Effects by Difference-in-Difference Methods," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 165-224, November.
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