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Partial Fertility Recuperation in Spain Two Years After the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic

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  • Fallesen, Peter

    (ROCKWOOL Foundation)

  • Cozzani, Marco

    (European University Institute)

Abstract

Following the onset COVID-19 pandemic’s, a host of countries saw drastic fertility declines. Yet so far it remains unclear whether affected populations subsequently have recuperated the fertility declines, and if so, if the recuperation is equally distributed. We use vital statistics on Spain, the European country experiencing the most severe fertility decline of the pandemic, to examine these questions. By December 2021, Spain had only seen a partial recuperation of the fertility with large heterogeneity. Mothers at the beginning and the end of the reproductive age and those transitioning to first child have not yet recuperated, whereas mother in the middle of the fertility window and higher order births have fully recuperated. The findings suggest large consequences for population structure and ultimate childlessness in Spain.

Suggested Citation

  • Fallesen, Peter & Cozzani, Marco, 2023. "Partial Fertility Recuperation in Spain Two Years After the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic," SocArXiv 2m5pr, Center for Open Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:2m5pr
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/2m5pr
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martha J. Bailey & Janet Currie & Hannes Schwandt, 2022. "The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic," Working Papers 2022-30, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    2. Sobotka, Tomas & Jasilioniene, Aiva & Galarza, Ainhoa Alustiza & Zeman, Kryštof & Nemeth, Laszlo & Jdanov, Dmitri, 2021. "Baby bust in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic? First results from the new STFF data series," SocArXiv mvy62, Center for Open Science.
    3. Arpino, Bruno & LUPPI, FRANCESCA & Rosina, Alessandro, 2021. "Regional trends in births during the COVID-19 crisis in France, Germany, Italy, and Spain," SocArXiv mnwh8, Center for Open Science.
    4. Hassani, Hossein & Yeganegi, Mohammad Reza, 2020. "Selecting optimal lag order in Ljung–Box test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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