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Is it a Fallacy to Believe in the Hot Hand in the NBA Three-Point Contest?

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  • Miller, Joshua Benjamin

    (The University of Melbourne)

  • Sanjurjo, Adam

Abstract

*European Economic Review Link*: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103771 *Full Bibliographic Reference*: Miller, J. B., & Sanjurjo, A. (2021). Is it a fallacy to believe in the hot hand in the NBA three-point contest? European Economic Review, Vol. 138, September 2021, 103771 ********************************************* The NBA Three-Point Contest has been considered an ideal setting to study the hot hand, as it showcases the elite professional shooters that hot hand beliefs are typically directed towards, but in an environment that eliminates many of the confounds present in game action. We collect 29 years of NBA Three-Point Contest television broadcast data (1986-2015), apply a statistical approach that improves on those of previous studies, and find considerable evidence of hot hand shooting in and across individuals. Our results support fans' and experts' widely held belief in the hot hand among NBA shooters.

Suggested Citation

  • Miller, Joshua Benjamin & Sanjurjo, Adam, 2018. "Is it a Fallacy to Believe in the Hot Hand in the NBA Three-Point Contest?," OSF Preprints dmksp_v1, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:dmksp_v1
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/dmksp_v1
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