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The long-run nominal exchange rate: specification and estimation issues

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Abstract

The authors use monthly data from May 1973 to December 1991 to estimate a textbook version of the monetary model of the nominal exchange rate determination. They use a modified version of the Phillips and Loretan (1991) Two-Sided Dynamic Least Squares. This method accounts for the serial correlation in the residuals, the simultaneity, and cointegration among the regressors. The latter condition is consistent with the restriction that the system is homogeneous of degree zero in the money supply differential and the exchange rate. Razzak and Grennes show that most of the empirical problems known to be associated with monetary models can be ameliorated.

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  • W A Razzak & Thomas Grennes, 1998. "The long-run nominal exchange rate: specification and estimation issues," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/5, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    • Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:1998/05
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    1. Biswajit Maitra, 2010. "Money Supply and Exchange Rate Variations in Sri Lanka in the Independent Float Regime—A Time Domain Study," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 11(1), pages 111-129, March.
    2. Aykut Kibritcioglu & Bengi Kibritcioglu, 2004. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Turkey, 1987-2003 (in Turkish)," Macroeconomics 0403006, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Apr 2004.

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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