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How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System

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Listed:
  • Gara Afonso
  • Darrell Duffie
  • Lorenzo Rigon
  • Hyun Song Shin

Abstract

Before the era of large central bank balance sheets, banks relied on incoming payments to fund outgoing payments in order to conserve scarce liquidity. Even in the era of large central bank balance sheets, rather than funding payments with abundant reserve balances, we show that outgoing payments remain highly sensitive to incoming payments. By providing a window on liquidity constraints revealed by payment behavior, our results shed light on thresholds for the adequacy of reserve balances. Our findings are timely, given the ongoing shrinking of central bank balance sheets around the world in response to inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gara Afonso & Darrell Duffie & Lorenzo Rigon & Hyun Song Shin, 2022. "How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System," NBER Working Papers 30736, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:30736
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Narayan Bulusu & Matthew McNeely & Kaetlynd McRae & Jonathan Witmer, 2023. "Estimating the Appropriate Quantity of Settlement Balances in a Floor System," Discussion Papers 2023-26, Bank of Canada.
    2. Girotti, Mattia & Horny, Guillaume, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission through banks when liquidity is abundant but unevenly distributed," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Joseph G. Haubrich, 2023. "Financial Stability: Frontier Risks, a New Normal, and Policy Challenges," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(14), pages 1-5, August.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

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