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Are Lemons Sold First? Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market

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  • Manuel Adelino
  • Kristopher Gerardi
  • Barney Hartman-Glaser

Abstract

A central result in the theory of adverse selection in asset markets is that informed sellers can signal quality and obtain higher prices by delaying trade. This paper provides some of the first evidence of a signaling mechanism through trade delays using the residential mortgage market as a laboratory. We find a strong relationship between mortgage performance and time to sale for privately securitized mortgages. Additionally, deals made up of more seasoned mortgages are sold at lower yields. These effects are strongest in the ”Alt-A” segment of the market, where mortgages are often sold with incomplete hard information, and in cases where the originator and the issuer of mortgage-backed securities are not affiliated.

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  • Manuel Adelino & Kristopher Gerardi & Barney Hartman-Glaser, 2018. "Are Lemons Sold First? Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market," NBER Working Papers 24180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:24180
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    3. Nishihara, Michi & Shibata, Takashi, 2018. "Dynamic bankruptcy procedure with asymmetric information between insiders and outsiders," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 118-137.
    4. Martel, Jordan, 2018. "Quality, price, and time-on-market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 97-101.

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    JEL classification:

    • D0 - Microeconomics - - General
    • G0 - Financial Economics - - General

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