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Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Easing and Tightening

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  • Davide Debortoli
  • Mario Forni
  • Luca Gambetti
  • Luca Sala

Abstract

Monetary policy easing and tightening have asymmetric effects: a policy easing has large effects on prices but small effects on real activity variables. The opposite is found for a policy tightening: large real effects but small effects on prices. Non-linearities are estimated using a new and simple procedure based on linear Structural Vector Autoregressions with exogenous variables (SVARX). We rationalize the results through the lenses of a simple model with downward nominal wage rigidities.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Debortoli & Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2020. "Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy Easing and Tightening," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 146, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    • Handle: RePEc:mod:recent:146
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    2. Leonardo Nogueira Ferreira, 2023. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Financial Conditions, and the String Theory Revisited," Working Papers Series 573, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    3. Luca Eduardo Fierro & Mario Martinoli, 2024. "An Empirical Inquiry into the Distributional Consequences of Energy Price Shocks," LEM Papers Series 2024/30, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    4. Brignone, Davide & Gambetti, Luca & Ricci, Martino, 2024. "Geopolitical risk shocks: when the size matters," Working Paper Series 2972, European Central Bank.
    5. Josef Baumgartner & Serguei Kaniovski & Franz Sinabell, 2024. "Policy Brief: Robuste Versorgungsketten in der Agrar- und Nahrungsmittelwirtschaft. Eine kurzfristige Prognose der Preisänderungen von Nahrungsmitteln und Getränken für Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 71405, March.
    6. Joscha Beckmann & Klaus-Jürgen Gern & Nils Jannsen, 2022. "Should they stay or should they go? Negative interest rate policies under review," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 885-912, October.
    7. Velasco, Sofia, 2024. "Asymmetries in the transmission of monetary policy shocks over the business cycle: a Bayesian Quantile Factor Augmented VAR," Working Paper Series 2983, European Central Bank.
    8. Martin Bruns & Michele Piffer, 2021. "Monetary policy shocks over the business cycle: Extending the Smooth Transition framework," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2021-07, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    9. Tobias Adrian & Gaston Gelos & Nora Lamersdorf & Emanuel Moench, 2024. "The asymmetric and persistent effects of Fed policy on global bond yields," BIS Working Papers 1195, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Miescu, Mirela & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2024. "Non-linear Dynamics of Oil Supply News Shocks," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2024/18, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    11. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Valerie Boctor & Aaron Mehrotra & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2022. "Fiscal deficits and inflation risks: the role of fiscal and monetary policy regimes," BIS Working Papers 1028, Bank for International Settlements.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy shocks; non-linear effects; structural VAR models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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