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Evaluating Portfolio Policies: A Duality Approach

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  • Kogan, Leonid
  • Haugh, Martin
  • Wang, Jiang

Abstract

The performance of a given portfolio policy can in principle be evaluated by comparing its expected utility with that of the optimal policy. Unfortunately, the optimal policy is usually not computable in which case a direct comparison is impossible. In this paper we solve this problem by using the given portfolio policy to construct an upper bound on the unknown maximum expected utility. This construction is based on a dual formulation of the portfolio optimization problem. When the upper bound is close to the expected utility achieved by the given portfolio policy, the potential utility loss of this policy is guaranteed to be small. Our algorithm can be used to evaluate portfolio policies in models with incomplete markets and position constraints. We illustrate our methodology by analyzing the static and myopic policies in markets with return predictability and constraints on short sales and borrowin

Suggested Citation

  • Kogan, Leonid & Haugh, Martin & Wang, Jiang, 2003. "Evaluating Portfolio Policies: A Duality Approach," Working papers 4329-03, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:mit:sloanp:3540
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    Cited by:

    1. Kamma, Thijs & Pelsser, Antoon, 2022. "Near-optimal asset allocation in financial markets with trading constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(2), pages 766-781.
    2. Michele Longo & Alessandra Mainini, 2017. "Welfare effects of information and rationality in portfolio decisions under parameter uncertainty," Papers 1709.04387, arXiv.org.
    3. Hong, Yi & Jin, Xing, 2018. "Semi-analytical solutions for dynamic portfolio choice in jump-diffusion models and the optimal bond-stock mix," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 389-398.
    4. Kasper Larsen & Oleksii Mostovyi & Gordan Žitković, 2018. "An expansion in the model space in the context of utility maximization," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 297-326, April.
    5. Castañeda, Pablo & Reus, Lorenzo, 2019. "Suboptimal investment behavior and welfare costs: A simulation based approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 170-180.
    6. Thijs Kamma & Antoon Pelsser, 2019. "Near-Optimal Dynamic Asset Allocation in Financial Markets with Trading Constraints," Papers 1906.12317, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    7. Björn Bick & Holger Kraft & Claus Munk, 2013. "Solving Constrained Consumption-Investment Problems by Simulation of Artificial Market Strategies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(2), pages 485-503, June.
    8. Thomas Breuer & Martin Jandačka, 2008. "Portfolio selection with transaction costs under expected shortfall constraints," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 305-316, October.
    9. Cheng-Der Fuh & Yanwei Jia & Steven Kou, 2023. "A General Framework for Importance Sampling with Latent Markov Processes," Papers 2311.12330, arXiv.org.
    10. Larsen, Linda Sandris & Munk, Claus, 2012. "The costs of suboptimal dynamic asset allocation: General results and applications to interest rate risk, stock volatility risk, and growth/value tilts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 266-293.
    11. Kasper Larsen & Oleksii Mostovyi & Gordan v{Z}itkovi'c, 2014. "An expansion in the model space in the context of utility maximization," Papers 1410.0946, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2016.
    12. Min Dai & Steven Kou & Shuaijie Qian & Xiangwei Wan, 2022. "Nonconcave Utility Maximization with Portfolio Bounds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(11), pages 8368-8385, November.
    13. Snezhana Kirusheva & Thomas S. Salisbury, 2023. "A greedy algorithm for habit formation under multiplicative utility," Papers 2305.04748, arXiv.org.
    14. David B. Brown & James E. Smith, 2011. "Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Transaction Costs: Heuristics and Dual Bounds," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(10), pages 1752-1770, October.
    15. Paolo Guasoni & Gu Wang, 2020. "Consumption in incomplete markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 383-422, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Portfolio Choice; Duality; Dynamic Programming; Constraints; Monte Carlo; Simulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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