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The expansion of modern agriculture and global biodiversity decline: an integrated assessment

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  • Bruno Lanz
  • Simon Dietz
  • Tim Swanson

Abstract

Modern agriculture relies on a small number of highly productive crops and its continued expansion has led to a significant loss of biodiversity. In this paper we consider the macroeconomic consequences of this land conversion process from the perspective of agricultural productivity and food production. We employ a quantitative, structurally estimated model of the global economy in which economic growth, population and food demand, agricultural innovations, and land conversion are jointly determined. We show that even a small impact of global biodiversity on agricultural productivity calls for both a halt in agricultural land conversion and increased agricultural R&D.

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  • Bruno Lanz & Simon Dietz & Tim Swanson, 2016. "The expansion of modern agriculture and global biodiversity decline: an integrated assessment," GRI Working Papers 167, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    • Handle: RePEc:lsg:lsgwps:wp167
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