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How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments?

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  • Elinder, Mikael

    (Uppsala University)

  • Erixson, Oscar

    (Uppsala University)

  • Hammar, Olle

    (Linnaeus University)

Abstract

We analyze the effects of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the partial military mobilization, and the Wagner Group rebellion on a broad set of sentiments in the Russian population, using the exogenous timing of surveys from Gallup World Poll and the Levada Center. Our results show strong rally 'round the flag effects and widespread domestic support for the war, sustained despite high casualties through strategic recruitment and economic compensations. While it thus seems unlikely that a public uprising will end the war soon, we also find that sentiments among Russians abroad have shifted against Putin, aligning with global views.

Suggested Citation

  • Elinder, Mikael & Erixson, Oscar & Hammar, Olle, 2024. "How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments?," IZA Discussion Papers 17457, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp17457
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    war; Russia; sentiments; rally 'round the flag; Putin;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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