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Wirtschaftspolitische Herausforderungen 2015

Author

Listed:
  • Gustav Horn

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Sebastian Gechert

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Alexander Herzog-Stein

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Ansgar Rannenberg

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Katja Rietzler

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Silke Tober

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

Abstract

Mit der hartnäckigen Tendenz zur Deflation verliert die Geldpolitik, die den Euroraum bislang entscheidend stabilisiert hat, an Wirksamkeit. Sie bedarf dringend der Flankierung durch die Finanzpolitik, die mittels höherer Investitionen die Wirtschaft im Euroraum stimuliert und so die Stagnations- und Deflationsgefahr bannen kann. Modellrechnungen ergeben, dass eine Ausweitung der öffentlichen Investitionen um 1 % des BIP für die Dauer von 3 Jahren das Euroraum-BIP im selben Zeitraum um durchschnittlich 1,6 % erhöhen würde. Ein Wechsel des finanzpolitischen Kurses deutet sich bereits an. Damit ist die bisherige Strategie, die den Euroraum durch einen harten Sparkurs aus der Krise führen sollte, gescheitert. Nunmehr werden vielfach Konzepte entwickelt, die die Investitionstätigkeit beleben sollen. Sie sind jedoch quantitativ und konzeptionell bislang unzureichend.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustav Horn & Sebastian Gechert & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Ansgar Rannenberg & Katja Rietzler & Silke Tober, 2015. "Wirtschaftspolitische Herausforderungen 2015," IMK Report 102-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:imk:report:102-2015
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Hohlfeld & Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan & Thomas Theobald & Silke Tober & Sebastian Watzka, 2017. "Aufschwung breit aufgestellt! Prognose-Update: Die konjunkturelle Lage in Deutschland zur Jahreswende 2017/2018," IMK Report 132-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    2. Gustav A. Horn & Sebastian Gechert & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Peter Hohlfeld & Fabian Lindner & Ansgar Rannenberg & Sabine Stephan & Thomas Theobald & Silke Tober, 2015. "Im Aufschwung - Prognose der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 2015/2016," IMK Report 104-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    3. Peter Hohlfeld & Katja Rietzler & Thomas Theobald & Silke Tober & Sebastian Watzka, 2017. "Inflation trotz Aufschwung zu niedrig - Prognose-Update: Die konjunkturelle Lage in Deutschland zur Jahresmitte," IMK Report 127-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    4. Gustav A. Horn & Jan Behringer & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Peter Hohlfeld & Fabian Lindner & Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan & Thomas Theobald & Silke Tober, 2015. "Deutsche Konjunktur trotz globaler Unsicherheit aufwärtsgerichtet," IMK Report 106-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.

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