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The Case for an Independent Fiscal Institution in Japan

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  • Mr. George Kopits

Abstract

In response to the recent financial crisis and the ensuing buildup in public indebtedness, an increasing number of advanced economies have created independent fiscal institutions (IFIs) to improve the quality of public finances and to strengthen the credibility of government policy. A review of Japan’s fiscal policymaking over the past decades suggests that Japan would greatly benefit from establishing an IFI in line with internationally accepted standards of good practice. Such an institution could help correct critical weaknesses in policymaking and anchor expectations, especially if introduced as part of a fiscal framework with a medium-term perspective.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. George Kopits, 2016. "The Case for an Independent Fiscal Institution in Japan," IMF Working Papers 2016/156, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/156
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeffrey Frankel, 2011. "Over-optimism in forecasts by official budget agencies and its implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 27(4), pages 536-562.
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    3. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Varieties of Crises and Their Dates," Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press.
    4. Richard Werner, 2004. "Why has Fiscal Policy Disappointed in Japan?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 9, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    5. Wright, Maurice, 2002. "Japan's Fiscal Crisis: The Ministry of Finance and the Politics of Public Spending, 1975-2000," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199250530.
    6. Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Mr. Dennis P Botman, 2015. "Portfolio Rebalancing in Japan: Constraints and Implications for Quantitative Easing," IMF Working Papers 2015/186, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Kopits, George & Ferrarini, Benno & Ramayandi, Arief, 2016. "Exploring Risk-Adjusted Fiscal Sustainability Analysis for Asian Economies," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 483, Asian Development Bank.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bethlendi, András & Lentner, Csaba & Póra, András, 2020. "Független költségvetési intézmények fejlődése a 2008-as válság után [Development of independent fiscal institutions since the crisis of 2008]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 787-808.

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