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Portfolio Rebalancing in Japan: Constraints and Implications for Quantitative Easing

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  • Mr. Serkan Arslanalp
  • Mr. Dennis P Botman

Abstract

Portfolio rebalancing is a key transmission channel of quantitative easing in Japan. We construct a realistic rebalancing scenario, which suggests that the BoJ may need to taper its JGB purchases in 2017 or 2018, given collateral needs of banks, asset-liability management constraints of insurers, and announced asset allocation targets of major pension funds. Nonetheless, the BoJ could deliver continued monetary stimulus by extending the maturity of its JGB purchases or by scaling up private asset purchases. We quantify the impact of rebalancing on capital outflows and discuss JGB market signals that can be indicative of limits being within reach.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Serkan Arslanalp & Mr. Dennis P Botman, 2015. "Portfolio Rebalancing in Japan: Constraints and Implications for Quantitative Easing," IMF Working Papers 2015/186, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/186
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Bowman, David & Cai, Fang & Davies, Sally & Kamin, Steven, 2015. "Quantitative easing and bank lending: Evidence from Japan," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 15-30.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wieladek, Tomasz & Haldane, Andrew & Roberts-Sklar, Matt & Young, Chris, 2016. "QE: the story so far," CEPR Discussion Papers 11691, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Mr. George Kopits, 2016. "The Case for an Independent Fiscal Institution in Japan," IMF Working Papers 2016/156, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Yoshiko Suzuki, 2017. "Return of the Japan premium in the abenomics period," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1401-1414.
    4. Hiroshi Ugai, 2015. "Transmission Channels and Welfare Implications of Unconventional Monetary Easing Policy in Japan," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 060, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, revised Dec 2015.
    5. Martijn Boermans & Viacheslav Keshkov, 2018. "The impact of the ECB asset purchases on the European bond market structure: Granular evidence on ownership concentration," DNB Working Papers 590, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    6. Hiroshi Ugai, "undated". "Transmission Channels and Welfare Implications of Unconventional Monetary Easing Policy in Japan," Working Papers e102, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    7. Ikuo Saito, 2016. "Fading Ricardian Equivalence in Ageing Japan," IMF Working Papers 2016/194, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Lau, Wee-Yeap & Yip, Tien-Ming, 2020. "How do monetary transmission channels influence inflation in the short and long run? Evidence from the QQE regime in Japan," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    9. Abeer Reza & Eric Santor & Lena Suchanek, 2015. "Quantitative Easing as a Policy Tool Under the Effective Lower Bound," Discussion Papers 15-14, Bank of Canada.

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