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Determinants of Financial Market Spillovers: The Role of Portfolio Diversification, Trade, Home Bias, and Concentration

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  • Yoko Shinagawa

Abstract

This paper defines financial market spillovers as the comovement between two countries’ financial markets and analyzes financial market spillovers over the period 2001-12 through four channels: bilateral portfolio investment, bilateral trade, home bias, and country concentration. The paper finds that, if a country has a large amount of bilateral portfolio exposure in another country, these two countries’ comovement of bond yields are large. Also, countries’ geographical preferences impact financial spillovers; if a country has a stronger home bias, the country could have less spillovers from foreign financial markets. A policy implication from this result is that, if countries become less home-biased and have a greater amount of portfolio investment assets, they should strengthen prudential regulations to mitigate against rising risks of financial spillovers (or risk greater volatility owing to comovement with foreign markets).

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  • Yoko Shinagawa, 2014. "Determinants of Financial Market Spillovers: The Role of Portfolio Diversification, Trade, Home Bias, and Concentration," IMF Working Papers 2014/187, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/187
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    2. Lee, Pei-Ling & Chin, Lee & Law, Siong Hook & Azman-Saini, W.N.W., 2019. "Analysing the Effect of Portfolio Concentration Index and Stock Market Correlation," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(2), pages 165-176.
    3. Pym Manopimoke & Suthawan Prukumpai & Yuthana Sethapramote, 2018. "Dynamic Connectedness in Emerging Asian Equity Markets," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, in: Banking and Finance Issues in Emerging Markets, volume 25, pages 51-84, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    4. Walid Abass Mohammed, 2021. "Volatility Spillovers among Developed and Developing Countries: The Global Foreign Exchange Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-30, June.
    5. Harsha Paranavithana & Rod Tyers & Leandro Magnusson & Florian Schiffmann, 2022. "Monetary policy regimes: A global assessment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(6), pages 1737-1772, June.
    6. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2022. "Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 79-127, February.
    7. You, Kefei & Raju Chinthalapati, V.L. & Mishra, Tapas & Patra, Ramakanta, 2024. "International trade network and stock market connectedness: Evidence from eleven major economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    8. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2022. "Higher Moments Actually Matter: Spillover Approach for Case of CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-34, December.
    9. Alex Bara & Pierre Le Roux, 2017. "South Africa's Financial Spillover Effects on Growth and Financial Development in the Southern African Development Community," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 400-412.
    10. Muhammad Anwar, Sher Zaman Khan, Amin Ur Rehman, 2017. "Financial Literacy, Behavioral Biases and Investor's Portfolio Diversification: Empirical Study of an Emerging Stock Market," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 2(2), pages 144-163, October.

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