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Absorption Boom and Fiscal Stance: What Lies Ahead in Eastern Europe?

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  • Jesmin Rahman

Abstract

This paper estimates revenue and expenditure pro-cyclicality with respect to output and domestic absorption in new member states of the European Union and Croatia to assess whether these countries used the boom years of 2003-07 to create sufficient fiscal space. The current crisis has found many countries short of fiscal space. As these countries enter a different phase of capital inflows, some with large vulnerabilities and inflexible monetary policy options, the role of fiscal policy becomes more important. This paper also looks at these issues to see how fiscal policy can play a more effective role in demand management in these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Jesmin Rahman, 2010. "Absorption Boom and Fiscal Stance: What Lies Ahead in Eastern Europe?," IMF Working Papers 2010/097, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/097
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Irina BILAN & Florin OPREA, 2012. "EU fiscal consolidation strategies in times of crisis – comparative approaches," Anale. Seria Stiinte Economice. Timisoara, Faculty of Economics, Tibiscus University in Timisoara, vol. 0, pages 887-894, May.
    2. Mr. Ruben V Atoyan & Mr. Dustin Smith & Mr. Albert Jaeger, 2012. "The Pre-Crisis Capital Flow Surge to Emerging Europe: Did Countercyclical Fiscal Policy Make a Difference?," IMF Working Papers 2012/222, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Islam, Roumeen, 2013. "Macroeconomic context and fiscal policy : Europe and Central Asia during 2000-2012," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6621, The World Bank.
    4. Zsóka Kóczán, 2016. "Fiscal policy, business cycles and discretion: evidence from the Western Balkans," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 468-486, October.
    5. Rilind Kabashi, 2014. "The Cyclical Character of Fiscal Policy in Transition Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 57-73.
    6. Ruben Atoyan, 2010. "Beyond the crisis: revisiting emerging Europe’s growth model," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 34(4), pages 329-356.
    7. Mr. Ruben V Atoyan & Mr. Jonathan F Manning & Jesmin Rahman, 2013. "Rebalancing: Evidence from Current Account Adjustment in Europe," IMF Working Papers 2013/074, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Mr. Ruben V Atoyan, 2010. "Beyond the Crisis: Revisiting Emerging Europe’s Growth Model," IMF Working Papers 2010/092, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Francesco Spadafora & Mr. Emidio Cocozza & Mr. Andrea Colabella, 2011. "The Impact of the Global Crisison South-Eastern Europe," IMF Working Papers 2011/300, International Monetary Fund.

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    WP; revenue; country; GDP;
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