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The Spillover Effects of the Global Crisison Economic Activity in Mena Emerging Market Countries: An Analysis Using the Financial Stress Index

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  • Mr. Kenji Moriyama

Abstract

The estimated spillover of the global crisis to emerging market (EM) economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) indicates that nearly two-thirds of the increased financial stress in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock is attributable to direct or indirect spillovers of financial stress in advanced economies. Moreover, the estimated models suggest that the increased financial stress and slowdown in economic activity in advanced economies can explain about half of the drop in real GDP growth in MENA EM countries after the Lehman shock.

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  • Mr. Kenji Moriyama, 2010. "The Spillover Effects of the Global Crisison Economic Activity in Mena Emerging Market Countries: An Analysis Using the Financial Stress Index," IMF Working Papers 2010/008, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nathaniel Frank & Heiko Hesse, 2009. "Financial Spillovers to Emerging Markets during the Global Financial Crisis," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 59(6), pages 507-521, December.
    2. Mr. Christopher W. Crowe & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry & Mr. Jun I Kim & Mr. Marcos d Chamon & Mr. Atish R. Ghosh, 2009. "Coping with the Crisis: Policy Options for Emerging Market Countries," IMF Staff Position Notes 2009/008, International Monetary Fund.
    3. John Beirne & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Marianne Schulze-Ghattas & Nicola Spagnolo, 2013. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(5), pages 1060-1075, November.
    4. Ms. Silvia Sgherri & Mr. Alessandro Galesi, 2009. "Regional Financial Spillovers Across Europe: A Global VAR Analysis," IMF Working Papers 2009/023, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Aziz Omar Ghazy, 2020. "Does Bank Profitability Stimulate Economic Growth in the Arab Region?," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Amira El-Shal, 2012. "The Spillover Effects of the Global Financial Crisis on Economic Activity in Emerging Economies – Investigating the Egyptian Case Using the Financial Stress Index," Working Papers 737, Economic Research Forum, revised 2012.
    4. Bigerna, Simona, 2024. "Connectedness analysis of oil price shocks, inflation, and exchange rate for the MENA region countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Mahmoud Haddad & Sam Hakim, 2011. "Measuring the Damage from Financial Integration in the GCC: Lessons from the Global Crisis," Working Papers 614, Economic Research Forum, revised 08 Jan 2011.
    6. Omar G. Aziz, 2022. "FDI inflows and economic growth in Arab region: The institutional quality channel," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1009-1024, January.
    7. Mohamed Douch & Omar Farooq & Yuliya Kalinina, 2020. "Exposure to Provincial and National Information and Firm Performance: Crisis Period Evidence from China," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(1), pages 1-11, February.
    8. Merve Aksoylar Baysoy & Sumru Altug, 2019. "Growth Spillovers in the MENA Region," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1909, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    9. Mirajul Haq & Karim Khan & Ayesha Parveen, 2014. "The Growth and Employment Impacts of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis on Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 19(2), pages 129-154, July-Dec.
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