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How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels

Author

Listed:
  • Jaime Espinosa-Bowen
  • Mr. Nadeem Ilahi
  • Fahad Alturki

Abstract

We test the extent to which growth in the 11 CIS countries (excluding Russia) was associated with developments in Russia, overall, as well as through the trade, financial and remittance channels over the last decade or so. The results point to the continued existence of economic links between the CIS countries and Russia, though these links may have altered since the 1998 crisis. Russia appears to influence regional growth mainly through the remittance channel and somewhat less so through the financial channel. There is a shrinking role of the trade (exports to Russia) channel. Russian growth shocks are associated with sizable effects on Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and, to some extent, Georgia.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaime Espinosa-Bowen & Mr. Nadeem Ilahi & Fahad Alturki, 2009. "How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels," IMF Working Papers 2009/277, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2009/277
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    Cited by:

    1. Tokunaga, Masahiro & Suganuma, Keiko & Odagiri, Nami, 2018. "From Russia to Eurasia : Specific Features of the “Russosphere” from the Perspective of Business Activities of Japanese Firms," RRC Working Paper Series 77, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
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    3. Kobil Ruziev & Toshtemir Majidov, 2013. "Differing Effects of the Global Financial Crisis on the Central Asian Countries: Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic and Uzbekistan," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 65(4), pages 682-716.
    4. Bayramov, Vugar & Rustamli, Nabi & Abbas, Gulnara, 2020. "Collateral damage: The Western sanctions on Russia and the evaluation of implications for Russia’s post-communist neighbourhood," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 92-109.
    5. N. Kundan Kishor & Salome Giorgadze, 2022. "Business cycle synchronization in the CIS region," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(1), pages 135-158, January.
    6. Oleksandr Faryna & Heli Simola, 2018. "The Transmission of International Shocks to CIS Economies: A Global VAR Approach," Working Papers 04/2018, National Bank of Ukraine.
    7. Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Viet Hoang Nguyen & Yongcheol Shin, 2017. "What’s Mine Is Yours: Sovereign Risk Transmission during the European Debt Crisis," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n17, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    8. Gevorkyan, Aleksandr V., 2015. "The legends of the Caucasus: Economic transformation of Armenia and Georgia," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 1009-1024.
    9. Aivazian, Sergei & Bereznyatskiy, Alexander & Brodsky, Boris, 2014. "Dutch disease in Russian and Armenian economies," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 36(4), pages 32-60.
    10. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Uruguay: Staff Report for the 2013 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/006, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Faryna, Oleksandr & Simola, Heli, 2018. "The transmission of international shocks to CIS economies: A Global VAR approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2018, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    12. Faryna, Oleksandr & Simola, Heli, 2021. "The transmission of international shocks to CIS economies: A global VAR approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(2).
    13. Hillebrand, Evan & Bervoets, Jeremy, 2013. "Economic Sanctions and The Sanctions Paradox: A Post-Sample Validation of Daniel Drezner’s Conflict Expectations Model," MPRA Paper 50954, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mrs. Sarwat Jahan, 2012. "Spillovers to Low-Income Countries: Importance of Systemic Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2012/049, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Mirzosaid Sultonov, 2020. "The causality relationship between remittances and the real effective exchange rate: the case of the Kyrgyz Republic," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 167-177, February.

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