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The Implications of South African Economic Growth for the Rest of Africa

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  • Mr. Vivek Arora
  • Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis

Abstract

This paper measures the extent to which South African economic growth is an engine of growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Results based on panel data estimation for 47 African countries over four decades suggest that South African growth has a substantial positive impact on growth in the rest of Africa, even after controlling for other growth determinants. The estimates are robust to the effects of global and regional shocks, changes in model specification, and sample period.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Vivek Arora & Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2005. "The Implications of South African Economic Growth for the Rest of Africa," IMF Working Papers 2005/058, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2005/058
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    Cited by:

    1. Nin Pratt, Alejandro & Diao, Xinshen, 2006. "High value products or staple crops? A discussion on development strategies for Southern Africa," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21094, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Çakır, Mustafa Yavuz & Kabundi, Alain, 2013. "Trade shocks from BRIC to South Africa: A global VAR analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 190-202.
    3. Mr. Nadeem Ilahi & Riham Shendy, 2008. "Do the Gulf Oil-Producing Countries Influence Regional Growth? The Impact of Financial and Remittance Flows," IMF Working Papers 2008/167, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Bayramov, Vugar & Rustamli, Nabi & Abbas, Gulnara, 2020. "Collateral damage: The Western sanctions on Russia and the evaluation of implications for Russia’s post-communist neighbourhood," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 92-109.
    5. Olivier Basdevant & Andrew Jonelis & Borislava Mircheva & Slavi Slavov, 2015. "The Mystery of Missing Real Spillovers in Southern Africa: Some Facts and Possible Explanations," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(3), pages 371-389, September.
    6. Oyenyinka Sunday Omoshoro‐Jones & Lumengo Bonga‐Bonga, 2022. "Intra‐regional spillovers from Nigeria and South Africa to the rest of Africa: New evidence from a FAVAR model," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 251-275, January.
    7. Francesca Giubilo, 2010. "What Could be the Future of South Africa After National Elections on 22 April 2009?," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 16(4), pages 948-961, February.
    8. Radulović Marija & Kostić Milan, 2021. "Are EU Members’ Economies an “Engine” of the EU Candidates’ Economies?," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(2), pages 97-117, December.
    9. Glass, Anthony J. & Kenjegalieva, Karligash & Ajayi, Victor & Adetutu, Morakinyo & Sickles, Robin C., 2016. "Relative Winners and Losers from Efficiency Spillovers in Africa with Policy Implications for Regional Integration," Working Papers 16-003, Rice University, Department of Economics.
    10. Jaime Espinosa-Bowen & Mr. Nadeem Ilahi & Fahad Alturki, 2009. "How Russia Affects the Neighborhood - Trade, Financial, and Remittance Channels," IMF Working Papers 2009/277, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Alain Kabundi, 2009. "Synchronisation Between South Africa And The U.S.: A Structural Dynamic Factor Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 1-27, March.
    12. René m. Bakker & Leon A.g. Oerlemans & Tinus Pretorius, 2008. "Domestic And International Innovation Partnerships: Do They Matter For Innovation Outcomes Of South African Firms?," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(3), pages 518-536, September.
    13. Mr. Marco Pani & Mr. Etibar Jafarov & Mr. Clinton R. Shiells, 2005. "Is Russia Still Driving Regional Economic Growth?," IMF Working Papers 2005/192, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Michele Alessandrini & Michael Enowbi Batuo, 2010. "The trade specialization of SANE: Evidence from manufacturing industries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 7(1), pages 145-178, June.
    15. Massimiliano Bertollo & Omar Appolloni & Juana Bustamante Izquierdo & Francesco De Angelis & Edoardo Lelli & Slavko Vesenjak, 2009. "China and the Different Regional Approaches in Africa," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 16(2), pages 404-420, June.
    16. Nin Pratt, Alejandro & Diao, Xinshen, 2008. "Exploring Growth Linkages and Market Opportunities for Agriculture in Southern Africa," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 23, pages 104-137.
    17. Alex Bara & Pierre Le Roux, 2017. "South Africa's Financial Spillover Effects on Growth and Financial Development in the Southern African Development Community," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 400-412.
    18. Vivek Arora & Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2010. "South Africa in the African Economy," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 2(2), pages 153-171, May.
    19. Laura N. Beny & Lisa D. Cook, 2009. "Metals or Management? Explaining Africa's Recent Economic Growth Performance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 268-274, May.
    20. Kabundi, Alain & Loots, Elsabe, 2007. "Co-movement between South Africa and the Southern African Development Community: An empirical analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 737-748, September.

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    WP; Gdp; country; table;
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