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Setting the Stage for a National Currency in the West Bank and Gaza: The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime

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  • Ms. Magda E. Kandil
  • Samya Beidas-Strom

Abstract

This paper sheds light on the quantitative behavioral responses of key economic variables in the Palestinian economy in the face of major economic shocks and draws implications for the choice of an exchange rate regime should a decision be taken to introduce a national currency. Time-series regression analysis shows that (i) wages and prices are flexible in the face of various shocks; (ii) the real wage appears rigid in the face of various shocks and increases despite higher unemployment; (iii) an appreciation of the new Israeli Sheqalim real effective exchange rate decreases exports and imports; and (iv) money demand appears stable in the face of exchange rate shocks. Although a fixed exchange rate system may initially be desirable to establish credibility of the new currency, some flexibility of the exchange rate is desirable over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Magda E. Kandil & Samya Beidas-Strom, 2005. "Setting the Stage for a National Currency in the West Bank and Gaza: The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime," IMF Working Papers 2005/070, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2005/070
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mr. Richard K. Abrams, 1995. "The Design and Printing of Bank Notes: Considerations When Introducing a New Currency," IMF Working Papers 1995/026, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48.
    3. Mr. Jonathan David Ostry & Ms. Anne Marie Gulde & Mr. Atish R. Ghosh & Holger C. Wolf, 1995. "Does the Nominal Exchange Rate Regime Matter?," IMF Working Papers 1995/121, International Monetary Fund.
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    5. Delano Villanueva, 1993. "Options for Monetary and Exchange Arrangements in Transition Economies," IMF Policy Discussion Papers 1993/012, International Monetary Fund.
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    9. Stanley Fischer, 2001. "Exchange Rate Regimes: Is the Bipolar View Correct?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 3-24, Spring.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eliane Cristina de Araújo, 2011. "Volatilidade Cambial e Crescimento Econômico: Teorias e Evidências para Economias em Desenvolvimento e Emergentes (1980 e 2007)," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 12(2), pages 187-213.
    2. Shaker Sarsour, 2012. "Analyzing The Transmission Mechanisms Of Monetary Policy In The Absence Of A National Currency: The Palestinian Case," Middle East Development Journal (MEDJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 1-30.
    3. Mr. Tigran Poghosyan & Samya Beidas-Strom, 2011. "An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Jordanian Economy," IMF Working Papers 2011/028, International Monetary Fund.

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