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Additive nonparametric models with time variable and both stationary and nonstationary regressions

Author

Listed:
  • Chaohua Dong

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China)

  • Oliver Linton

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and University of Cambridge)

Abstract

This paper considers nonparametric additive models that have a deterministic time trend and both stationary and integrated variables as components. The diverse nature of the regressors caters for applications in a variety of settings. In addition, we extend the analysis to allow the stationary regressor to be instead locally stationary, and we allow the models to include a linear form of the integrated variable. Heteroscedasticity is allowed for in all models. We propose an estimation strategy based on orthogonal series expansion that takes account of the different type of stationarity/nonstationarity possessed by each covariate. We establish pointwise asymptotic distribution theory jointly for all estimators of unknown functions and also show the conventional optimal convergence rates jointly in the L2 sense. In spite of the entanglement of different kinds of regressors, we can separate out the distribution theory for each estimator. We provide Monte Carlo simulations that establish the favourable properties of our procedures in moderate sized samples. Finally, we apply our techniques to the study of a pairs trading strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaohua Dong & Oliver Linton, 2017. "Additive nonparametric models with time variable and both stationary and nonstationary regressions," CeMMAP working papers CWP59/17, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:59/17
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Additive nonparametric models; deterministic trend; pairs trading; series estimator; stationary and locally stationary processes; unit root process;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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