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Efectos de las políticas de capacitación en América Latina y el Caribe: el caso del Programa Joven

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  • Cristian Aedo
  • Sergio Nuñez

Abstract

(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) En este trabajo se evalúa el Programa Joven, un programa de capacitación dirigido por el Ministerio del Trabajo de Argentina. Se adapta y aplica una metodología de evaluación no experimental para dar respuesta a las siguientes preguntas: (1) ¿Aumentó el Programa Joven el ingreso de los participantes por concepto de trabajo? (2) ¿Aumentó el Programa Joven la probabilidad de conseguir empleo? (3) ¿Cuál fue la tasa de retorno de los dólares invertidos en el Programa Joven? La metodología básica que se siguió fue la de estimadores correspondientes. La aplicación de esta metodología exige que se sigan dos pasos: en primer lugar, la estimación de un modelo de participación en el programa (puntajes de propensión) y, en segundo lugar, dependiendo de los puntajes de propensión calculados, el uso de estimadores correspondientes para calcular los efectos del programa. Se emplearon tres fuentes de información distintas para calcular los puntajes de propensión. Estas diferentes fuentes de información permiten el análisis de una pregunta más: ¿qué tan sensibles son los cálculos de los efectos de los programas a las diversas especificaciones de los puntajes de propensión? Esta cuestión no ha sido abordada por la obra publicada anterior, pero sí lo es aquí. En este trabajo se presenta la hipótesis de que los cálculos de los efectos son, de hecho, sensibles a las diversas especificaciones de los puntajes de propensión. Además, se informa sobre y comparan los puntajes de propensión calculados a partir de cada una de estas fuentes de datos, y luego se calculan los efectos del programa sobre los ingresos y el empleo, basándose en esos puntajes de propensión. Por último, los autores realizan un análisis de costo-beneficio del Programa Joven, basándose en los datos de costos y las estimaciones de los efectos del programa (beneficios).

Suggested Citation

  • Cristian Aedo & Sergio Nuñez, 2004. "Efectos de las políticas de capacitación en América Latina y el Caribe: el caso del Programa Joven," Research Department Publications 3176, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:3176
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    References listed on IDEAS

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