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Beschäftigung und Erwerbspersonenpotenzial in der langen Frist: Demografie prägt den ostdeutschen Arbeitsmarkt (Labour demand and labour supply in the long run: Demographic effects on the East German labour market)

Author

Listed:
  • Fuchs, Johann

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Hummel, Markus

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Zika, Gerd

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"The labour market in East Germany will undergo a dramatic change due to the demographic development. The paper focuses on the impact of a substantially decreasing and ageing labour force. It discusses in particular how this could hinder the employment prospects in East Germany up to 2050. As the younger cohorts are far smaller than the older cohorts now approaching retirement, a shortage of qualified workers in the near future seems to become more likely than ever." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Fuchs, Johann & Hummel, Markus & Zika, Gerd, 2009. "Beschäftigung und Erwerbspersonenpotenzial in der langen Frist: Demografie prägt den ostdeutschen Arbeitsmarkt (Labour demand and labour supply in the long run: Demographic effects on the East German ," IAB-Kurzbericht 200921, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabkbe:200921
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kubis, Alexander & Schneider, Lutz, 2008. "Im Fokus: Zuwanderungschancen ostdeutscher Regionen," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 14(10), pages 377-381.
    2. Fuchs, Johann & Söhnlein, Doris, 2005. "Langfristprojektion bis 2050: Dramatischer Rückgang der Bevölkerung im Osten," IAB-Kurzbericht 200519, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    3. Fuchs, Johann & Dörfler, Katrin, 2005. "Projektion des Erwerbspersonenpotenzials bis 2050 : Annahmen und Datengrundlage," IAB-Forschungsbericht 200525, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Fuchs, Johann, 2006. "Rente mit 67: Neue Herausforderungen für die Beschäftigungspolitik," IAB-Kurzbericht 200616, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    5. Bernd Meyer & Christian Lutz & Peter Schnur & Gerd Zika, 2007. "National Economic Policy Simulations with Global Interdependencies: A Sensitivity Analysis for Germany," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 37-55.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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