IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/spmain/hal-03458167.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Régimes de change et coordination des politiques économiques en Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Henri Sterdyniak

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Pierre Villa

    (LG - Laboratoire des Glucides - UPJV - Université de Picardie Jules Verne - INC-CNRS - Institut de Chimie - CNRS Chimie - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Quel est le meilleur régime de change pour l'Europe ? Les changes flexibles induisent une forte instabilité des taux de change et comportent des risques d'inefficacité des politiques économiques du fait de leur non-coordination. Le SME permet à tous les pays européens de bénéficier de la crédibilité de la Bundesbank mais leur impose en contrepartie une politique monétaire dictée par la seule situation allemande et la stratégie de la Bundesbank. L 'UEM favorise l'intégration économique européenne mais les pays perdent toute indépendance monétaire et l'organisation des politiques budgétaires pose problème. L 'article présente les problèmes de méthodes que pose la comparaison des régimes de change (définition et fonctionnement, influence sur la dynamique des salaires, organisation et rôle des politiques monétaire et budgétaire). Il examine et discute les quelques études empiriques qui ont comparé la stabilité des économies européennes selon le régime de change. Enfin, une maquette fournit une illustration chiffrée des avantages et des défauts de chacun des régimes de change selon le type de choc qui frappe l'économie mondiale ; elle met en évidence les problèmes qu'ils posent quant à l'organisation et à la coopération des politiques économiques. Quand tous les pays européens sont frappés par un choc similaire, le SME ou I'UEM permettent de limiter les réactions erronées des politiques monétaires en Europe, mais cette coordination reste nettement moins efficace que ne le serait une coordination mondiale. En cas de choc spécifique à un pays, le SME et l'UEM peuvent devenir très inefficaces, en particulier pour les chocs spéculatifs ou pour les pays dominés (dans les deux cas) ; pour les chocs de balance commerciale (dans le cas du SME). L'utilisation des politiques budgétaires à des fins de stabilisation, de façon indépendante ou mieux de façon coordonnée, rend moins grave la perte de liberté qu'entraîne la fixité des changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Henri Sterdyniak & Pierre Villa, 1993. "Régimes de change et coordination des politiques économiques en Europe," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458167, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03458167
    DOI: 10.3406/ofce.1993.1306
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03458167
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03458167/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3406/ofce.1993.1306?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5262 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Franck Amalric & Henri Sterdyniak, 1989. "Interdépendance et coopération : les leçons d'une maquette," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 26(1), pages 135-156.
    3. Melitz, Jacques & Vori, Silvia, 1992. "National Insurance Against Unevenly Distributed Shocks in a European Monetary Union," CEPR Discussion Papers 697, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Currie, David & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 1992. "European monetary union or hard EMS?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1185-1204, August.
    5. van der Ploeg, Frederick, 1989. "Monetary Interdependence under Alternative Exchange-Rate Regimes: A European Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 358, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Var Der Ploeg, F., 1989. "Monetary Interdependence Under Alternative Exchange-Rate Regime," Papers 8920, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
    7. Rogoff, Kenneth, 1985. "Can international monetary policy cooperation be counterproductive?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3-4), pages 199-217, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jérôme Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1998. "À propos de la volatilité de l'euro," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 65(1), pages 199-226.
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2963 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jerome Creel & Henri Sterdyniak, 1998. "Discussing Euro Volatility," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 1998-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    4. Fabrice Capoen & Jérôme Creel, 2007. "Efficiency of stability-oriented institutions: the European case," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03461990, HAL.
    5. Fayolle, J. & Micolet, P-E., 1998. "Cycles internationaux et européens: éléments pour une problématique appliquée," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 1998-01, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    6. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2963 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Jean Pisani-Ferry & Claude Bismut, 1993. "L'union économique et monétaire : principes et implications," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(1), pages 121-142.
    8. Fabrice Capoen & Henri Sterdyniak & Pierre Villa, 1994. "Indépendance des banques centrales, politiques monétaire et budgétaire : une approche stratégique," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 50(1), pages 65-102.
    9. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5266 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5266 is not listed on IDEAS

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5265 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5265 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Patrick Artus, 1992. "Passage à l'union économique et monétaire en Europe : effets sur la croissance et les politiques budgétaires," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 106(5), pages 123-137.
    4. Andrew Brociner, 1993. "L'Union monétaire européenne : une revue de la littérature théorique," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 43(1), pages 349-363.
    5. Jean Pisani-Ferry & Claude Bismut, 1993. "L'union économique et monétaire : principes et implications," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(1), pages 121-142.
    6. Kirrane, Chris, 1994. "Implications of EMU for the European Community," MPRA Paper 88998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Chris Kirrane, 2018. "Implications of EMU for the European Community," Papers 1805.12113, arXiv.org.
    8. Conconi, Paola & Perroni, Carlo, 2009. "Do credible domestic institutions promote credible international agreements?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 160-170, September.
    9. Amélie BARBIER-GAUCHARD, 2020. "Blueprint for the European Fiscal Union: State of knowledge and Challenges," Working Papers of BETA 2020-39, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    10. Oscar Bajo-Rubio & Carmen Díaz-Roldán, 2003. "Insurance Mechanisms against Asymmetric Shocks in a Monetary Union a Proposal with an Application to EMU," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 69(1), pages 73-96.
    11. Schatz, Klaus-Werner & Scheide, Joachim & Trapp, Peter, 1988. "Low growth and high unemployment in Europe - Causes and policy options," Kiel Discussion Papers 140, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Nicola Acocella & Giovanni Bartolomeo, 2004. "Is a Conservative Central Banker a (Perfect) Substitute for Wage Coordination?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 281-294, June.
    13. Mostafa SALIMIFAR & Mohammad Javd RAZMI & Zahra TAGHIZADEGAN, 2015. "A survey of the effect of trade openness size on inflation rate in Iran using ARDL," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(604), A), pages 143-154, Autumn.
    14. van der Ploeg, F & de Zeeuw, A J, 1990. "Perfect Equilibrium in a Model of Competitive Arms Accumulation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 31(1), pages 131-146, February.
    15. Mr. Roel M. W. J. Beetsma & Mr. Xavier Debrun & Mr. Franc Klaassen, 2001. "Is Fiscal Policy Coordination in EMU Desirable?," IMF Working Papers 2001/178, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Van Der Ploeg, F., 1991. "Unanticipated Inflation and Government Finance : The Case for an Independent Common Central Bank," Papers 9115, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
    17. Cavallari, Lilia, 2001. "Inflationary performance in a monetary union with large wage setters," ZEI Working Papers B 11-2001, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.
    18. Hubert Kempf & Leopold von Thadden, 2007. "On policy interactions among nations: when do cooperation and commitment matter ?," 2007 Meeting Papers 801, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. van der Ploeg, F. & de Zeeuw, A.J., 1987. "Conflict over arms accumulation in market and command economies," Research Memorandum FEW 265, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Sapir, Andre & Sekkat, Khalid, 1999. "Optimum electoral areas: Should Europe adopt a single election day?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(8), pages 1595-1619, August.
    21. Luisa Lambertini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union: Can Fiscal Cooperation be Counterproductive?," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1707, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    22. D'Amato, Marcello & Martina, Riccardo, 2005. "Credibility and commitment of monetary policy in open economies," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 872-902, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03458167. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Contact - Sciences Po Departement of Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.