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Time-varying Z-score measures for bank insolvency risk: Best practice

Author

Listed:
  • Vincent Bouvatier

    (ERUDITE - Equipe de Recherche sur l’Utilisation des Données Individuelles en lien avec la Théorie Economique - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 - Université Gustave Eiffel)

  • Laetitia Lepetit

    (LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - GIO - Gouvernance des Institutions et des Organisations - UNILIM - Université de Limoges)

  • Pierre-Nicolas Rehault

    (LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - GIO - Gouvernance des Institutions et des Organisations - UNILIM - Université de Limoges)

  • Frank Strobel

    (University of Birmingham [Birmingham])

Abstract

We evaluate several alternative approaches to constructing time-varying Z-scores as bank insolvency risk measures. Focusing on US and European banks during the financial crisis of 2007–2008, we compare the different measures considered using a range of alternative testing procedures. For both US and European data, Z-scores computed with the exponentially weighted moments method are shown to be preferable to those computed with the more commonly used moving moments approach. Generally, or if only simple moving moments are used, Z-scores computed with current values of the capital-asset ratio are recommended.
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Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Bouvatier & Laetitia Lepetit & Pierre-Nicolas Rehault & Frank Strobel, 2023. "Time-varying Z-score measures for bank insolvency risk: Best practice," Post-Print hal-04285763, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04285763
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.06.002
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    2. Laetitia Lepetit & Frank Strobel & Laurent Weill, 2024. "Do risky banks pay their employees more?," Working Papers of LaRGE Research Center 2024-09, Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie (LaRGE), Université de Strasbourg.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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