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The Lesson of the Crisis for EU Policy Making

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  • Francesco Saraceno

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

The article details the dominant narrative on the EMU crisis, the so-called "Berlin View", centered around the macroeconomic Consensus that emerged in the 1990s. This Consensus rules out discretionary policy (in particular fiscal policy) as a tool for policy makers, that should let market adjustments take care of macroeconomic shocks. The Consensus not only shaped the response to the crisis, but it is also the foundation of the Maastricht institutions (ECB mandate and fiscal rule). The article contrasts this narrative with a more structural one, highlighting the non-optimality of the EMU. If this second narrative were correct, much more than austerity and fiscal consolidation were needed. Institutions mimicking the functioning of a federal state would be needed to avoid divergence and further crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Saraceno, 2015. "The Lesson of the Crisis for EU Policy Making," Post-Print hal-03459985, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03459985
    DOI: 10.3917/poeu.050.0070
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03459985
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jean‐Paul Fitoussi & Francesco Saraceno, 2008. "Fiscal Discipline as a Social Norm: The European Stability Pact," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 10(6), pages 1143-1168, December.
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    3. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Francesco Saraceno, 2011. "Inequality, the Crisis and After," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, issue 1, pages 9-27, January-M.
    4. Olivier J. Blanchard & Daniel Leigh, 2013. "Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 117-120, May.
    5. Jean-Paul Fitoussi & Francesco Saraceno, 2013. "European economic governance: the Berlin–Washington Consensus," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 37(3), pages 479-496.
    6. Paul De Grauwe, 2014. "What Have We Learnt about Monetary Integration since the Maastricht Treaty?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Exchange Rates and Global Financial Policies, chapter 11, pages 273-296, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Eggertsson, Gauti & Ferrero, Andrea & Raffo, Andrea, 2014. "Can structural reforms help Europe?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 2-22.
    8. Xavier Sala-i-Martin & Jeffrey Sachs, 1991. "Fiscal Federalism and Optimum Currency Areas: Evidence for Europe From the United States," NBER Working Papers 3855, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Olivier Blanchard, 2000. "What Do We Know about Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell Did Not?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 115(4), pages 1375-1409.
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    Keywords

    EU Policy; EU macroeconomic Consensus;

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