IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-01745735.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A road map for explorative scenario creation on Belgian rail freight transport development

Author

Listed:
  • Frank Troch
  • Thierry Vanelslander

    (Department of Transport and Regional Economics - UA - University of Antwerp)

  • Christa Sys

    (BNP Paribas Fortis chair on transport, logistics and ports)

  • Florent Laroche

    (UA - University of Antwerp)

  • Angel Merchan
  • Martine Mostert
  • Vidar Stevens
  • Christine Tawfik
  • Sandra Belboom
  • Angelique Leonard

    (Université de Liège)

  • Sabine Limbourg
  • Koen Verhoest

Abstract

The starting point of this article is the weak usage of rail freight in Belgium and Europe, both as a sustainable mode of land transportation in itself as well as a part of the intermodal chain. The results are obtained by transversal research on rail freight transport in Belgium, taking into account the European context. This interdisciplinary research develops a road map for the creation of three integrated scenarios: a best case, medium case and worst case scenario for rail freight development, based on a detailed SWOT (strength, weakness, opportunities, threats) analysis. It includes the most probable future developments for rail freight transport and hinterland connections. These developments are obtained from literature review and discussions with a heterogeneous panel of experts in the fields of (i) optimal corridor and hub development, (ii) macroeconomic impact, (iii) sustainability, (iv) effective market regulation and (v) governance and organization for a well-functioning intermodality. The Delphi approach is used in combination with a survey analysis. Frequency tables and the H-index allow defining a ranking and selection of SWOT elements. The obtained scenarios allow future research to quantify and measure the impact of future developments and decisions towards the Belgian rail freight market.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Troch & Thierry Vanelslander & Christa Sys & Florent Laroche & Angel Merchan & Martine Mostert & Vidar Stevens & Christine Tawfik & Sandra Belboom & Angelique Leonard & Sabine Limbourg & Koen Ve, 2017. "A road map for explorative scenario creation on Belgian rail freight transport development," Post-Print hal-01745735, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01745735
    DOI: 10.1177/1783591717734792
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01745735
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-01745735/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/1783591717734792?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mitusch, Kay & Liedtke, Gernot & Guihery, Laurent & Bälz, David, 2014. "The structure of freight flows in Europe and its implications for EU railway freight policy," Working Paper Series in Economics 61, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    2. Janic, Milan, 2008. "An assessment of the performance of the European long intermodal freight trains (LIFTS)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(10), pages 1326-1339, December.
    3. Kay Mitusch & Gernot Liedtke & Laurent Guihéry & David Bälz, 2014. "The structure of freight flows in Europe and its implications for EU railway freight policy," Post-Print halshs-02127633, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Christine Tawfik & Sabine Limbourg, 2019. "A Bilevel Model for Network Design and Pricing Based on a Level-of-Service Assessment," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(6), pages 1609-1626, November.
    2. Aoun, Joelle & Quaglietta, Egidio & Goverde, Rob M.P., 2023. "Roadmap development for the deployment of virtual coupling in railway signalling," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frank Troch & Thierry Vanelslander & Christa Sys & Florent Laroche & Angel Merchan & Martine Mostert & Vidar Stevens & Christine Tawfik & Sandra Belboom & Angélique Léonard & Sabine Limbourg & Koen , 2017. "A road map for explorative scenario creation on Belgian rail freight transport development," Competition and Regulation in Network Industries, , vol. 18(1-2), pages 3-21, March.
    2. Briand, Martin & Franklin, Rod & Lafkihi, Mariam, 2022. "A dynamic routing protocol with payments for the Physical Internet: A simulation with learning agents," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    3. Dan Liu & Zhenghong Deng & Qipeng Sun & Yong Wang & Yinhai Wang, 2019. "Design and Freight Corridor-Fleet Size Choice in Collaborative Intermodal Transportation Network Considering Economies of Scale," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Pérez-Martínez, P.J. & Vassallo-Magro, J.M., 2013. "Changes in the external costs of freight surface transport In Spain," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 61-76.
    5. Elifcan Göçmen & Rızvan Erol, 2018. "The Problem of Sustainable Intermodal Transportation: A Case Study of an International Logistics Company, Turkey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-16, November.
    6. Ralf Elbert & Lowis Seikowsky, 2017. "The influences of behavioral biases, barriers and facilitators on the willingness of forwarders’ decision makers to modal shift from unimodal road freight transport to intermodal road–rail freight tra," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 87(8), pages 1083-1123, November.
    7. Bouchery, Yann & Woxenius, Johan & Fransoo, Jan C., 2020. "Identifying the market areas of port-centric logistics and hinterland intermodal transportation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(2), pages 599-611.
    8. Kim, Nam Seok & Van Wee, Bert, 2011. "The relative importance of factors that influence the break-even distance of intermodal freight transport systems," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 859-875.
    9. Miguel Puente‐Ajovín & Fernando Sanz‐Gracia, 2021. "Transport costs in new economic geography models: A more realistic approach," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 17(3), pages 221-233, September.
    10. Truschkin, Eugen & Elbert, Ralf, 2013. "Horizontal transshipment technologies as enablers of combined transport: Impact of transport policies on the modal split," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 91-109.
    11. Hamid Saeedi & Bart Wiegmans & Behzad Behdani, 2021. "Measuring concentration in transhipment markets: methodologies and application to a European case," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 23(3), pages 548-568, September.
    12. Nam Seok Kim & Byungkyu Park & Kang-Dae Lee, 2016. "A knowledge based freight management decision support system incorporating economies of scale: multimodal minimum cost flow optimization approach," Information Technology and Management, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 81-94, March.
    13. Saeedi, Hamid & Wiegmans, Bart & Behdani, Behzad & Zuidwijk, Rob, 2017. "European intermodal freight transport network: Market structure analysis," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 141-154.
    14. Tomas Ambra & An Caris & Cathy Macharis, 2019. "Should I Stay or Should I Go? Assessing Intermodal and Synchromodal Resilience from a Decentralized Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-24, March.
    15. Jiahao Zhao & Xiaoning Zhu & Li Wang, 2020. "Study on Scheme of Outbound Railway Container Organization in Rail-Water Intermodal Transportation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-18, February.
    16. Kumar, Aalok & Anbanandam, Ramesh, 2020. "Evaluating the interrelationships among inhibitors to intermodal railroad freight transport in emerging economies: A multi-stakeholder perspective," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 559-581.
    17. Basallo-Triana, Mario José & Bravo-Bastidas, Juan José & Vidal-Holguín, Carlos Julio, 2022. "A rail-road transshipment yard picture," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    18. Meisel, Frank & Kirschstein, Thomas & Bierwirth, Christian, 2013. "Integrated production and intermodal transportation planning in large scale production–distribution-networks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 62-78.
    19. Ferrari, Paolo, 2018. "Some necessary conditions for the success of innovations in rail freight transport," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 747-758.
    20. Chen, Hong & Cullinane, Kevin & Liu, Nan, 2017. "Developing a model for measuring the resilience of a port-hinterland container transportation network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 282-301.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01745735. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.