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Inflation and speculation in a dynamic macroeconomic model
[Inflation et spéculation dans un modèle macroéconomique dynamique]

Author

Listed:
  • Matheus R. Grasselli

    (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada, Fields Institute for Research In Mathematical Sciences - Fields Institute for Research In Mathematical Sciences)

  • Adrien Nguyen Huu

    (CERMICS - Centre d'Enseignement et de Recherche en Mathématiques et Calcul Scientifique - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech)

Abstract

We study a monetary version of the Keen model by merging two alternative extensions, namely the addition of a dynamic price level and the introduction of speculation. We recall and study old and new equilibria, together with their local stability analysis. This includes a state of recession associated with a deflationary regime and characterized by falling employment but constant wage shares, with or without an accompanying debt crisis. We also emphasize some new qualitative behavior of the extended model, in particular its ability to produce and describe repeated financial crises as a natural pace of the economy, and its suitability to describe the relationship between economic growth and financial activities.

Suggested Citation

  • Matheus R. Grasselli & Adrien Nguyen Huu, 2015. "Inflation and speculation in a dynamic macroeconomic model [Inflation et spéculation dans un modèle macroéconomique dynamique]," Post-Print hal-01097661, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01097661
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01097661
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joaquim Oliveira Martins & Stefano Scarpetta & Dirk Pilat, 1996. "Mark-Up Ratios in Manufacturing Industries: Estimates for 14 OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 162, OECD Publishing.
    2. Keen, Steve, 2013. "A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 221-235.
    3. Franke, Reiner, 1996. "A Metzlerian model of inventory growth cycles," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 243-262, June.
    4. Steve Keen, 1995. "Finance and Economic Breakdown: Modeling Minsky’s “Financial Instability Hypothesis”," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 607-635, July.
    5. Desai, Meghnad, 1973. "Growth cycles and inflation in a model of the class struggle," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 6(6), pages 527-545, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Grasselli, Matheus R. & Nguyen-Huu, Adrien, 2018. "Inventory growth cycles with debt-financed investment," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 1-13.
    2. Barrett, Adam B., 2018. "Stability of Zero-growth Economics Analysed with a Minskyan Model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 228-239.
    3. Antonin Pottier & Adrien Nguyen-Huu, 2017. "Debt and investment in the Keen model: a reappraisal of modelling Minsky," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 631–647-6, October.
    4. Giraud, Gaël & Grasselli, Matheus, 2021. "Household debt: The missing link between inequality and secular stagnation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 901-927.
    5. Emmanuel Bovari & Oskar Lecuyer & Florent Mc Isaac, 2018. "Debt and damages: What are the chances of staying under the 2C warming threshold?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 155, pages 92-108.
    6. Gaël Giraud & Matheus GRASSELLI, 2017. "The macrodynamics of household debt, growth, and inequality," Working Paper c15af656-d7a4-485c-867f-5, Agence française de développement.
    7. Bovari, Emmanuel & Giraud, Gaël & Mc Isaac, Florent, 2018. "Coping With Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics of Global Warming," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 383-398.
    8. Emmanuel Bovari & Gaël Giraud & Florent McIsaac, 2018. "Carbon Pricing and Global Warming: A Stock-flow Consistent Macro-dynamic Approach," Working Paper 0a6be926-7c78-4aba-a60b-6, Agence française de développement.
    9. Florent MCISAAC, 2017. "Testing Goodwin with a Stochastic Differential Approach – The United States (1948-2017)," Working Paper b9367a07-3c34-4bca-83a2-f, Agence française de développement.
    10. Florent McIsaac, 2021. "Testing Goodwin with a stochastic differential approach—The United States (1948–2019)," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(4), pages 696-730, November.
    11. Matheus R Grasselli & Alexander Lipton, 2018. "The Broad Consequences of Narrow Banking," Papers 1810.05689, arXiv.org.
    12. Gaël Giraud & Florent MCISAAC & Emmanuel BOVARI & Ekaterina ZATSEPINA, 2017. "Coping with the Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics of Global Warming. Updated version: January 2017," Working Paper b6f3f098-ed24-44bf-9cdd-1, Agence française de développement.
    13. Gaël Giraud & Florent MCISAAC & Emmanuel BOVARI, 2018. "Coping with the Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics of Global Warming - Updated version dated July 2017," Working Paper 987f5d77-9601-4865-9ce1-4, Agence française de développement.
    14. Adam B. Barrett, 2017. "Stability of zero-growth economics analysed with a Minskyan model," Papers 1704.08161, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    15. Matheus R. Grasselli & Alexander Lipton, 2019. "The Broad Consequences Of Narrow Banking," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-22, February.
    16. Benjamin M. Bolker & Matheus R. Grasselli & Emma Holmes, 2021. "Sensitivity analysis of an integrated climate-economic model," Papers 2103.06227, arXiv.org.
    17. Matheus R. Grasselli & Alexander Lipton, 2018. "On the Normality of Negative Interest Rates," Papers 1808.07909, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Minsky's financial instability hypothesis; Keen model; stock-flow consistency; financial crisis; dynamical systems in macroeconomics; local stability; limit cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G - Financial Economics

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