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Оценка Готовности Стран СНГ к Созданию Валютного Союза c Россией (Readiness Assessment of the CIS Member States to Create a Monetary Union with Russia)

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Knobel

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

  • Alexey Mironov

    (Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy)

Abstract

В последнее время на пространстве СНГ все активнее развиваются собственные интеграционные процессы, и одним из возможных и логичных вариантов дальнейшего их развития может стать создание валютного союза некоторыми государствами-членами Содружества. В работе предпринимается попытка теоретического анализа потенциальной готовности стран СНГ к созданию валютного союза с Россией, исходя из предположений и критериев, выработанных в теории оптимальных валютных зон. В первой части работы описывается ряд критериев теории ОВЗ, которые определяют готовность стран к созданию валютного союза, а также некоторые выгоды и издержки от валютного союза. Затем, на основе отобранных теоретических критериев, выделяется ряд макроэкономических показателей, по которым во второй части работы проводится оценка готовности стран СНГ к созданию валютной зоны с Россией. English Abstract: Recently there have been intensively developing integration processes in the CIS area and one of the possible and reasonable scenarios of their future development seems to be the establishment of a monetary union by some CIS countries. This research attempts a theoretical study of the CIS countries’ potential readiness to establish a monetary union with Russia basing on the presumptions and criteria developed in a theory of optimum currency areas. The first part of the research specifies some basic criteria of optimum currency area theory, which define the readiness of countries to establish a monetary union as well as certain benefits and costs of such a union. The second part of the research assesses the readiness of the CIS countries to establish a monetary union with Russia basing on a range of macroeconomic indicators determined by selected theoretical criteria.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Knobel & Alexey Mironov, 2014. "Оценка Готовности Стран СНГ к Созданию Валютного Союза c Россией (Readiness Assessment of the CIS Member States to Create a Monetary Union with Russia)," Working Papers 136, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2015.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:wpaper:136
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    integration process; CIS; monetary union; Russia; currency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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