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The impact of food prices shocks in Uganda: First-order versus long-run effects:

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  • Van Campenhout, Bjorn
  • Pauw, Karl
  • Minot, Nicholas

Abstract

We look at the immediate effects of these shocks faced by households in Uganda on their poverty and well-being. In addition, we look at the economywide impact in the long run when all markets have settled at a new equilibrium. We find that in the short run, poverty has increased substantially. However, in the longer run, we find welfare levels of rural farm households in particular to rise sharply, primarily as a result of increased returns to farm labor and agricultural land coupled with improved market prices for output sold.

Suggested Citation

  • Van Campenhout, Bjorn & Pauw, Karl & Minot, Nicholas, 2013. "The impact of food prices shocks in Uganda: First-order versus long-run effects:," IFPRI discussion papers 1284, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1284
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    Cited by:

    1. Séne, Ligane Massamba, 2014. "Heterogeneous responses to heterogeneous food price shocks in Senegal: insights from a CGE," MPRA Paper 58835, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Daniela Campus & Gianna Giannelli, 2016. "Is the Allocation of Time Gender Sensitive to Food Price Changes? An Investigation of Hours of Work in Uganda," Working Papers - Economics wp2016_16.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    3. Van Campenhout, Bjorn & Bizimungu, Emmanuel & Birungi, Dorothy, 2016. "Risk and sustainable crop intensification: The case of smallholder rice and potato farmers in Uganda:," IFPRI discussion papers 1521, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Van Campenhout, Bjorn, 2016. "Risk and Sustainable Crop Intensification," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 246917, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    5. Raymond Boadi Frempong & David Stadelmann, 2019. "The Effect of Food Price Changes on Child Labour: Evidence from Uganda," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(7), pages 1492-1507, July.
    6. Ariane Zingiro & Julius Okello & Paul Guthiga, 2014. "Assessment of adoption and impact of rainwater harvesting technologies on rural farm household income: the case of rainwater harvesting ponds in Rwanda," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(6), pages 1281-1298, December.
    7. Shinyekwa, Isaac & Ijjo, Alex, 2016. "Determinants Of Domestic Food Price Differentials In Uganda: The Potential for and Constraints on Intra-County Trade," Research Reports 253556, Economic Policy Research Centre (EPRC).
    8. Derek D Headey, 2018. "Food Prices and Poverty," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 676-691.
    9. Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will, 2014. "Short- and long-run impacts of food price changes on poverty," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7011, The World Bank.
    10. Fan, Shenggen & Pandya-Lorch, Rajul & Yosef, Sivan, 2014. "Introduction [In Resilience for food and nutrition security]," IFPRI book chapters, in: Fan, Shenggen & Pandya-Lorch, Rajul & Yosef, Sivan (ed.), 2013 Global Food Policy Report, chapter 1, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    11. Headey, Derek D., 2014. "Food prices and poverty reduction in the long run:," IFPRI discussion papers 1331, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

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    Keywords

    Food prices; Wellbeing; Poverty; Computable general equilibrium (CGE); Agricultural development; Commodities;
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