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How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System

Author

Listed:
  • Gara Afonso
  • Darrell Duffie
  • Lorenzo Rigon
  • Hyun Song Shin

Abstract

Before the era of large central bank balance sheets, banks relied on incoming payments to fund outgoing payments in order to conserve scarce liquidity. Even in the era of large central bank balance sheets, rather than funding payments with abundant reserve balances, we show that outgoing payments remain highly sensitive to incoming payments. By providing a window on liquidity constraints revealed by payment behavior, our results shed light on thresholds for the adequacy of reserve balances. Our findings are timely, given the ongoing shrinking of central bank balance sheets around the world in response to inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Gara Afonso & Darrell Duffie & Lorenzo Rigon & Hyun Song Shin, 2022. "How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System," Staff Reports 1040, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:95218
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Morten L. Bech, 2008. "Intraday liquidity management: a tale of games banks play," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 14(Sep), pages 7-23.
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    3. Gara Afonso & Hyun Song Shin, 2011. "Precautionary Demand and Liquidity in Payment Systems," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43, pages 589-619, October.
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    6. Nellen, Thomas, 2019. "Intraday liquidity facilities, late settlement fee and coordination," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 124-131.
    7. Ricardo Correa & Wenxin Du & Gordon Y. Liao, 2020. "U.S. Banks and Global Liquidity," NBER Working Papers 27491, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Bech, Morten L. & Garratt, Rod, 2003. "The intraday liquidity management game," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 198-219, April.
    9. Stefan Avdjiev & Wenxin Du & Cathérine Koch & Hyun Song Shin, 2019. "The Dollar, Bank Leverage, and Deviations from Covered Interest Parity," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 1(2), pages 193-208, September.
    10. Chen, Qi & Goldstein, Itay & Jiang, Wei, 2010. "Payoff complementarities and financial fragility: Evidence from mutual fund outflows," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 239-262, August.
    11. Mcandrews, James & Kroeger, Alexander, 2016. "The payment system benefits of high reserve balances," Journal of Payments Strategy & Systems, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 10(1), pages 72-83, March.
    12. Alexander Kroeger & James J. McAndrews, 2016. "The payment system benefits of high reserve balances," Staff Reports 779, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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    Cited by:

    1. Narayan Bulusu & Matthew McNeely & Kaetlynd McRae & Jonathan Witmer, 2023. "Estimating the Appropriate Quantity of Settlement Balances in a Floor System," Discussion Papers 2023-26, Bank of Canada.
    2. Girotti, Mattia & Horny, Guillaume, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission through banks when liquidity is abundant but unevenly distributed," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Joseph G. Haubrich, 2023. "Financial Stability: Frontier Risks, a New Normal, and Policy Challenges," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(14), pages 1-5, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    real-time gross settlement; quantitative tightening; Balance sheet management; reserve balances;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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