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Trade elasticity of substitution and equilibrium dynamics

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Abstract

The empirical literature provides a wide range of estimates for trade elasticities at the aggregate level. Furthermore, recent contributions in international macroeconomics suggest that low (implied) values of the trade elasticity of substitution may play an important role in understanding the disconnect between international prices and real variables. However, a standard model of the international business cycle displays multiple locally isolated equilibria if the trade elasticity of substitution is sufficiently low. The main contribution of this paper is to compute and characterize some dynamic properties of these equilibria. While multiple steady states clearly signal equilibrium multiplicity in the dynamic setup, this is not a necessary condition. Solutions based on log-linearization around a deterministic steady state are of limited to no help in computing the true dynamics. However, the log-linear solution can hint at the presence of multiple dynamic equilibria.

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  • Martin Bodenstein, 2008. "Trade elasticity of substitution and equilibrium dynamics," International Finance Discussion Papers 934, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:934
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    7. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2016. "The Great Recession: A Self-Fulfilling Global Panic," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(4), pages 177-198, October.
    8. Mandelman, Federico S. & Zlate, Andrei, 2012. "Immigration, remittances and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 196-213.
    9. Murat Üngör, 2009. "De-industrialization of the Riches and the Rise of China," DEGIT Conference Papers c014_040, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    10. Pappa, Evi & Valentinyi, Akos & Brueckner, Markus, 2019. "Local Autonomy and Government Spending Multipliers: Evidence from European Regions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14106, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. James Staveley-O'Carroll & Olena Staveley-O'Carroll, 2019. "International Welfare Spillovers of National Pension Schemes," Working Papers 1903, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    12. Robert Dekle, 2013. "Real Exchange Rates in a Model of Structural Change: Applications to the Real Yen-Dollar and Chinese RMB-Dollar Exchange Rates," IMES Discussion Paper Series 13-E-02, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    13. Kolasa, Marcin & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2020. "International spillovers of quantitative easing," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    14. Staveley-O’Carroll, James & Staveley-O’Carroll, Olena M., 2019. "International risk sharing in overlapping generations models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 157-160.
    15. Antoine Berthou & Emannuel Dhyne, 2018. "Exchange rate movements,firm-level exports and heterogeneity," Working Paper Research 334, National Bank of Belgium.
    16. Toda, Alexis Akira, 2017. "Huggett economies with multiple stationary equilibria," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 77-90.
    17. Markus Brueckner & Evi Pappa & Ákos Valentinyi, 2023. "Geographic Cross‐Sectional Fiscal Spending Multipliers and the Role of Local Autonomy: Evidence from European Regions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1357-1396, September.
    18. Staveley-O’Carroll James & Staveley-O’Carroll Olena M., 2021. "International Welfare Spillovers of National Pension Schemes," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 363-397, January.
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