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How effective has been the Spanish lockdown to battle COVID-19? A spatial analysis of the coronavirus propagation across provinces

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  • Luis Orea
  • Inmaculada C. Álvarez

Abstract

This paper assesses the effectiveness of the Spanish lockdown of population on March 14th to battle the COVID-19 propagation, as well as the effect of bringing forward the date of this public intervention. We test not only whether the lockdown (and other control measures) has prevented local contagion of the virus, but also whether it has prevented the inter-province spread of COVID-19.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Orea & Inmaculada C. Álvarez, 2020. "How effective has been the Spanish lockdown to battle COVID-19? A spatial analysis of the coronavirus propagation across provinces," Working Papers 2020-03, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaddt:2020-03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stephen Gibbons & Henry G. Overman, 2012. "Mostly Pointless Spatial Econometrics?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(2), pages 172-191, May.
    2. Álvarez, Inmaculada C. & Barbero, Javier & Zofío, José L., 2016. "A spatial autoregressive panel model to analyze road network spillovers on production," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 83-92.
    3. Orea, Luis & Álvarez, Inmaculada C., 2019. "Spatial Production Economics," Efficiency Series Papers 2019/06, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    4. James P. LeSage, 2014. "What Regional Scientists Need to Know about Spatial Econometrics," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 44(1), pages 13-32, Spring.
    5. Solmaria Halleck Vega & J. Paul Elhorst, 2015. "The Slx Model," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 339-363, June.
    6. M Tiefelsdorf & D A Griffith & B Boots, 1999. "A Variance-Stabilizing Coding Scheme for Spatial Link Matrices," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 31(1), pages 165-180, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    RePEc Biblio mentions

    As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography for Economics:
    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Health > Distancing and Lockdown > Effect on Health

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Luigi Maria Solivetti, 2020. "Determinants of the coronavirus epidemic generation in Italy," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 74(3-4), pages 5-16, July-Dece.
    2. Nikos Kapitsinis, 2020. "The underlying factors of the COVID‐19 spatially uneven spread. Initial evidence from regions in nine EU countries," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(6), pages 1027-1045, December.
    3. Jeffrey E. Harris, 2020. "Geospatial Analysis of the September 2020 Coronavirus Outbreak at the University of Wisconsin – Madison: Did a Cluster of Local Bars Play a Critical Role?," NBER Working Papers 28132, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Daniel H. Cooper & Vaishali Garga & María Jose Luengo-Prado & Jenny Tang, 2020. "The Roles of Mobility and Masks in the Spread of COVID-19," Current Policy Perspectives 89224, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    5. Orea, Luis & Álvarez, Inmaculada C. & Wall, Alan, 2021. "Estimating the propagation of the COVID-19 virus with a stochastic frontier approximation of epidemiological models: a panel data econometric model with an application to Spain," Efficiency Series Papers 2021/01, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    6. Rafael Robina-Ramírez & Jose-Amelio Medina-Merodio & Libertad Moreno-Luna & Héctor V. Jiménez-Naranjo & Marcelo Sánchez-Oro, 2021. "Safety and Health Measures for COVID-19 Transition Period in the Hotel Industry in Spain," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-19, January.
    7. Mehmet Ronael & Tüzin Baycan, 2022. "Place-based factors affecting COVID-19 incidences in Turkey," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 1053-1086, October.
    8. Peng Cui & Ping Zou & Xuan Ju & Yi Liu & Yalu Su, 2022. "Research Progress and Improvement Ideas of Anti-Epidemic Resilience in China’s Urban Communities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-15, November.
    9. Jeffrey E. Harris, 2021. "Los Angeles County SARS-CoV-2 Epidemic: Critical Role of Multi-generational Intra-household Transmission," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 55-83, April.
    10. Jerzy Bański & Marcin Mazur & Wioletta Kamińska, 2021. "Socioeconomic Conditioning of the Development of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Its Global Spatial Differentiation," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-15, April.
    11. Peng Cui & Zhiyu Dong & Xin Yao & Yifei Cao & Yifan Sun & Lan Feng, 2022. "What Makes Urban Communities More Resilient to COVID-19? A Systematic Review of Current Evidence," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-15, August.
    12. Vicente Rios & Lisa Gianmoena, 2021. "On the link between temperature and regional COVID‐19 severity: Evidence from Italy," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(S1), pages 109-137, November.
    13. Luis Orea & Inmaculada C. Álvarez, 2022. "How effective has the Spanish lockdown been to battle COVID‐19? A spatial analysis of the coronavirus propagation across provinces," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 154-173, January.
    14. Arif Masrur & Manzhu Yu & Wei Luo & Ashraf Dewan, 2020. "Space-Time Patterns, Change, and Propagation of COVID-19 Risk Relative to the Intervention Scenarios in Bangladesh," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-22, August.
    15. Michael Berlemann & Erik Haustein, 2020. "Right and Yet Wrong: A Spatio-Temporal Evaluation of Germany's Covid-19 Containment Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 8446, CESifo.

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