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Long-Term Economy-Wide Impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on Sudan

Author

Listed:
  • Khalid Siddig

    (Humboldt University of Berlin)

  • Mohammed Basheer

    (The University of Manchester)

  • Jonas Luckmann

    (Humboldt University of Berlin)

Abstract

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is expected to increase Ethiopia's electricity generation and affect water users in Egypt and Sudan. We analyze potential economy-wide impacts on Sudan of the steady-state operation of the GERD using a computable general equilibrium model coupled with hydrological, water allocation, and crop models. Results show that the increase in hydropower generation and irrigated agriculture in Sudan due to the flow regulation effect of the GERD would increase Sudan's accumulated GDP by US$ 27-29 billion over 2020-2060. The choice of cropping pattern for Sudan's new irrigation schemes is key to maximizing the county's macro-economic benefits.

Suggested Citation

  • Khalid Siddig & Mohammed Basheer & Jonas Luckmann, 2020. "Long-Term Economy-Wide Impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on Sudan," Working Papers 1427, Economic Research Forum, revised 20 Nov 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:1427
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Siddig, Khalid & Elagra, Samir & Grethe, Harald & Mubarak, Amel, 2016. "A Post-Separation Social Accounting Matrix for the Sudan," Working Paper Series 244286, Humboldt University Berlin, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    2. Nigatu, Getachew & Dinar, Ariel, 2016. "Economic and hydrological impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the Eastern Nile River Basin," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 532-555, August.
    3. Calzadilla, Alvaro & Rehdanz, Katrin & Tol, Richard S.J., 2011. "The GTAP-W model: Accounting for water use in agriculture," Kiel Working Papers 1745, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Marc Jeuland & Xun Wu & Dale Whittington, 2017. "Infrastructure development and the economics of cooperation in the Eastern Nile," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 121-141, February.
    5. Kevin G. Wheeler & Mohammed Basheer & Zelalem T. Mekonnen & Sami O. Eltoum & Azeb Mersha & Gamal M. Abdo & Edith A. Zagona & Jim W. Hall & Simon J. Dadson, 2016. "Cooperative filling approaches for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 611-634, June.
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