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Infrastructure development and the economics of cooperation in the Eastern Nile

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  • Marc Jeuland
  • Xun Wu
  • Dale Whittington

Abstract

This article employs a hydro-economic optimization model to analyze the effects of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on the distribution and magnitude of benefits in the Eastern Nile. Scenarios are considered based on plausible institutional arrangements that span varying levels of cooperation, as well as changes in hydrological conditions (water availability). The results show that the dam can increase Ethiopia’s economic benefits by a factor of 5–6, without significantly affecting or compromising irrigation and hydropower production downstream. However, increasing GERD water storage during a drought could lead to high costs not only for Egypt and Sudan, but also for Ethiopia.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Jeuland & Xun Wu & Dale Whittington, 2017. "Infrastructure development and the economics of cooperation in the Eastern Nile," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 121-141, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rwinxx:v:42:y:2017:i:2:p:121-141
    DOI: 10.1080/02508060.2017.1278577
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Block, Paul J., 2007. "Integrated management of the Blue Nile Basin in Ethiopia: Hydropower and irrigation modeling," IFPRI discussion papers 700, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    Cited by:

    1. Geiguen Shin, 2022. "How Ostrom's design principles apply to large‐scale commons: Cooperation over international river basins," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 39(5), pages 674-697, September.
    2. Mohammed Basheer & Victor Nechifor & Alvaro Calzadilla & Solomon Gebrechorkos & David Pritchard & Nathan Forsythe & Jose M. Gonzalez & Justin Sheffield & Hayley J. Fowler & Julien J. Harou, 2023. "Cooperative adaptive management of the Nile River with climate and socio-economic uncertainties," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 48-57, January.
    3. Siddig, Khalid & Basheer, Mohammed & Luckmann, Jonas & Grethe, Harald, 2019. "Long-term economy-wide impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam on Sudan," Conference papers 333118, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. M. A. Abdelzaher & Mohamed M. Awad, 2022. "Sustainable Development Goals for the Circular Economy and the Water-Food Nexus: Full Implementation of New Drip Irrigation Technologies in Upper Egypt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-14, October.
    5. Wheeler, Kevin & Jeuland, Marc & Hall, Jim & Zagona, Edith & Whittington, Dale, 2019. "Understanding Risks and Managing Perceptions in the Nile Basin after the Completion of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam," EfD Discussion Paper 19-5, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.

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