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The perceived credibility of forward-looking performance disclosures

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  • Athanasakou, Vasiliki E.
  • Hussainey, Khaled

Abstract

We investigate the credibility of forward-looking performance disclosures (FLPDs) in the narrative sections of annual reports, as perceived by investors. Our proxy for these disclosures is an index of statements about future performance. We find that companies issue more FLPDs when raising debt or conveying bad news in the financial statements. In the presence of these managerial incentives, investor reliance on FLPDs increases with the quality of earnings reported in the audited financial statements. Our results suggest that firms derive a benefit in terms of higher credibility for their narrative disclosures from having a reputation for high quality earnings.

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  • Athanasakou, Vasiliki E. & Hussainey, Khaled, 2014. "The perceived credibility of forward-looking performance disclosures," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 55974, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:55974
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    13. Rateb Mohammad Alqatamin, 2018. "Do Family-Owned Companies Achieve High or Low Performance? Evidence from Jordan," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(1), pages 215-223, January.
    14. Bassyouny, Hesham & Abdelfattah, Tarek & Tao, Lei, 2022. "Narrative disclosure tone: A review and areas for future research," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    15. Ahmed Hassanein & Alaa Zalata & Khaled Hussainey, 2019. "Do forward-looking narratives affect investors’ valuation of UK FTSE all-shares firms?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 493-519, February.
    16. Athanasakou, Vasiliki & Boshanna, Abdlmutaleb & Kochetova, Natalia & Voulgaris, Georgios, 2024. "Strategy and business model disclosures in annual reports: The role of legal regime," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(3).
    17. Liu, Sun, 2015. "Corporate governance and forward-looking disclosure: Evidence from China," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 16-30.
    18. Issal Haj-Salem & Salma Damak Ayadi & Khaled Hussainey, 2020. "The joint effect of corporate risk disclosure and corporate governance on firm value," International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(2), pages 123-140, September.
    19. Persson, Lars & Seiler, Thomas, 2022. "Entrepreneurial optimism and creative destruction," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    20. Elisa Menicucci & Guido Paolucci, 2021. "Forward-Looking Intellectual Capital Information in Integrated Reporting: An Empirical Analysis," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(8), pages 167-167, July.
    21. Moumen, Néjia & Ben Othman, Hakim & Hussainey, Khaled, 2015. "The value relevance of risk disclosure in annual reports: Evidence from MENA emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 177-204.
    22. Wolfgang Schadner & Joshua Traut, 2022. "Estimating Forward-Looking Stock Correlations from Risk Factors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-19, May.
    23. Wei, Lu & Li, Guowen & Li, Jianping & Zhu, Xiaoqian, 2019. "Bank risk aggregation with forward-looking textual risk disclosures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    24. Özgür Arslan‐Ayaydin & James Thewissen & Wouter Torsin, 2021. "Disclosure tone management and labor unions," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1-2), pages 102-147, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    forward-looking statements; voluntary disclosures; managerial incentives; earnings quality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M40 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - General
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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