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Parallel Lives: Birth, Childhood and Adolescent Influences on Career Paths

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  • Duncan McVicar
  • Michael Anyadike-Danes

Abstract

This paper uses sequence methods and cluster analysis to create a typology of career paths for a cohort of British 29 year olds born in 1970. There are clear ‘types’ identified by these techniques including several paths dominated by various forms of non-employment. These types are strongly correlated with individual characteristics and parental background factors observed at birth, age ten and age sixteen. By estimating a multinomial logit model of career types we show how policy makers might identify early those young people likely to experience long term non-employment as adults, enabling better targeted preventative policy intervention.

Suggested Citation

  • Duncan McVicar & Michael Anyadike-Danes, 2004. "Parallel Lives: Birth, Childhood and Adolescent Influences on Career Paths," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 134, Econometric Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecm:ausm04:134
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    File URL: http://repec.org/esAUSM04/up.8281.1077550291.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cramer, J. S. & Ridder, G., 1991. "Pooling states in the multinomial logit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2-3), pages 267-272, February.
    2. Lawrence L. Wu, 2000. "Some Comments on “Sequence Analysis and Optimal Matching Methods in Sociology: Review and Prospectâ€," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 29(1), pages 41-64, August.
    3. Stefani Scherer, 1999. "Early Career Patterns - a Comparison of Great Britain and West Germany," MZES Working Papers 7, MZES.
    4. Duncan McVicar & Michael Anyadike‐Danes, 2002. "Predicting successful and unsuccessful transitions from school to work by using sequence methods," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 165(2), pages 317-334, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    careers; cluster analysis; optimal matching;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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