The asymmetric effects of weather shocks on euro area inflation
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Note: 224580
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Maximilian Kotz & Anders Levermann & Leonie Wenz, 2022. "The effect of rainfall changes on economic production," Nature, Nature, vol. 601(7892), pages 223-227, January.
- Drudi, Francesco & Moench, Emanuel & Holthausen, Cornelia & Weber, Pierre-François & Ferrucci, Gianluigi & Setzer, Ralph & Adao, Bernardino & Dées, Stéphane & Alogoskoufis, Spyros & Téllez, Mar Delgad, 2021. "Climate change and monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 271, European Central Bank.
- Joshua Graff Zivin & Matthew Neidell, 2014.
"Temperature and the Allocation of Time: Implications for Climate Change,"
Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 32(1), pages 1-26.
- Joshua Graff Zivin & Matthew J. Neidell, 2010. "Temperature and the Allocation of Time: Implications for Climate Change," NBER Working Papers 15717, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
- Riccardo Colacito & Bridget Hoffmann & Toan Phan, 2019.
"Temperature and Growth: A Panel Analysis of the United States,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(2-3), pages 313-368, March.
- Colacito, Riccardo & Hoffmann, Bridget & Phan, Toan, 2016. "Temperature and Growth: A Panel Analysis of the United States," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 7654, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Riccardo Colacito & Bridget Hoffman & Toan Phan, 2018. "Temperature and Growth: A Panel Analysis of the United States," Working Paper 18-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- K. Mukherjee & B. Ouattara, 2021. "Climate and monetary policy: do temperature shocks lead to inflationary pressures?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-21, August.
- Felbermayr, Gabriel & Gröschl, Jasmin & Sanders, Mark & Schippers, Vincent & Steinwachs, Thomas, 2022. "The economic impact of weather anomalies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Robert B. Litterman, 1979. "Techniques of forecasting using vector autoregressions," Working Papers 115, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Auffhammer, Maximilian & Schlenker, Wolfram, 2014. "Empirical studies on agricultural impacts and adaptation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 555-561.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2021.
"The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Volatility,"
Working Papers
928, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2022. "The macroeconomic cost of climate volatility," BCAM Working Papers 2202, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2021. "The macroeconomic cost of climate volatility," Papers 2108.01617, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Auffhammer, Maximilian & Mansur, Erin T., 2014. "Measuring climatic impacts on energy consumption: A review of the empirical literature," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 522-530.
- Kuik, Friderike & Morris, Richard & Sun, Yiqiao, 2022. "The impact of climate change on activity and prices – insights from a survey of leading firms," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1993.
"A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model,"
NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 179-212,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1989. "A nine variable probabilistic macroeconomic forecasting model," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 14, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Christopher A. Sims, 1992. "A Nine Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1034, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2014.
"What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(3), pages 740-798, September.
- Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2013. "What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature," NBER Working Papers 19578, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015.
"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- repec:ulb:ulbeco:2013/13388 is not listed on IDEAS
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Charles D. Kolstad & Frances C. Moore, 2020.
"Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change Using Weather Observations,"
Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 14(1), pages 1-24.
- Charles D. Kolstad & Frances C. Moore, 2019. "Estimating the Economic Impacts of Climate Change Using Weather Observations," NBER Working Papers 25537, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Felbermayr, Gabriel & Gröschl, Jasmin, 2014.
"Naturally negative: The growth effects of natural disasters,"
Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 92-106.
- Gabriel Felbermayr & Jasmin Katrin Gröschl & Gabriel J. Felbermayr, 2013. "Naturally Negative: The Growth Effects of Natural Disasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 4439, CESifo.
- Maximilian Kotz & Leonie Wenz & Annika Stechemesser & Matthias Kalkuhl & Anders Levermann, 2021. "Day-to-day temperature variability reduces economic growth," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(4), pages 319-325, April.
- Koester, Gerrit & Rubene, Ieva & Gonçalves, Eduardo & Nordeman, Jakob, 2021. "Recent developments in pipeline pressures for non-energy industrial goods inflation in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 5.
- Natoli, Filippo, 2022. "Temperature surprise shocks," MPRA Paper 112568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2012. "Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 66-95, July.
- Kuik, Friderike & Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile & Meyler, Aidan & Lis, Eliza, 2022. "Energy price developments in and out of the COVID-19 pandemic – from commodity prices to consumer prices," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 4.
- Kousky, Carolyn, 2014. "Informing climate adaptation: A review of the economic costs of natural disasters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 576-592.
- Miles Parker, 2018.
"The Impact of Disasters on Inflation,"
Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 21-48, April.
- Miles Parker, 2016. "The impact of disasters on inflation," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/06, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Parker, Miles, 2016. "The impact of disasters on inflation," Working Paper Series 1982, European Central Bank.
- Boneva, Lena & Ferrucci, Gianluigi, 2022. "Inflation and climate change: the role of climate variables in inflation forecasting and macro modelling," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115533, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Conefrey, Thomas & McCann, Fergal & O'Brien, Martin, 2024. "Economic policy issues in the Irish housing market," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 68-119, September.
- Lucidi, Francesco Simone & Pisa, Marta Maria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2024. "The effects of temperature shocks on energy prices and inflation in the Euro Area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
- Erwan Gautier & Christoph Grosse Steffen & Magali Marx & Paul Vertier, 2023. "Decomposing the Inflation Response to Weather-Related Disasters," Working papers 935, Banque de France.
- Yannis Dafermos, 2024. "The climate crisis meets the ECB: tinkering around the edges or paradigm shift?," Working Papers 264, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
- Cunpu Li & Xuetong Zhang & Jing He, 2023. "Impact of Climate Change on Inflation in 26 Selected Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-22, August.
- Meltem Chadwick & Hulya Saygili, 2024. "Temperature, precipitation and food price inflation: Evidence from a panel of countries," Working Papers wp55, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Marotta, Fulvia, 2024. "Demand or Supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Filippo Natoli, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of temperature surprise shocks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1407, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Jimmy Karlsson, 2021. "Temperature and Exports: Evidence from the United States," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 80(2), pages 311-337, October.
- Kotz, Maximilian & Kuik, Friderike & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane, 2023. "The impact of global warming on inflation: averages, seasonality and extremes," Working Paper Series 2821, European Central Bank.
- Natoli, Filippo, 2022. "Temperature surprise shocks," MPRA Paper 112568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Paulo M. M. Rodrigues & Mirjam Salish & Nazarii Salish, 2024. "Saving for sunny days: The impact of climate (change) on consumer prices in the euro area," Papers 2401.03740, arXiv.org.
- Leonardo Bortolan & Atreya Dey & Luca Taschini, 2024. "Volatile Temperatures and Their Effects on Equity Returns and Firm Performance," CESifo Working Paper Series 11438, CESifo.
- Chang, Jun-Jie & Mi, Zhifu & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2023. "Temperature and GDP: A review of climate econometrics analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 383-392.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Kuik, Friderike & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2023. "The outlook is mixed: the asymmetric effects of weather shocks on inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 111.
- Hee Soo (test record) Kim & Christian Matthes & Toan Phan, 2011. "Extreme Weather and the Macroeconomy," Working Paper 21-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Wenju Cai & Yi Liu & Xiaopei Lin & Ziguang Li & Ying Zhang & David Newth, 2024. "Nonlinear country-heterogenous impact of the Indian Ocean Dipole on global economies," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Haroon Mumtaz & Fulvia Marotta, 2023. "Vulnerability to Climate Change: Evidence from a Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers 961, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Francesco Jacopo Pintus & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Elmer Sterken & Jan Jacobs, 2024.
"Fiscal Impacts of Climate Anomalies,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
11548, CESifo.
- Francesco Jacopo Pintus & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Elmer Sterken, 2024. "Fiscal Impacts of Climate Anomalies," CAMA Working Papers 2024-74, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hannes Boehm, 2022. "Physical climate change and the sovereign risk of emerging economies," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-41, December.
- Faccia, Donata & Parker, Miles & Stracca, Livio, 2021. "Feeling the heat: extreme temperatures and price stability," Working Paper Series 2626, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," CEPR Discussion Papers 9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Tol, Richard S.J., 2024.
"A meta-analysis of the total economic impact of climate change,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
- Richard S.J. Tol, 2022. "A meta-analysis of the total economic impact of climate change," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-056/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
- Richard S.J. Tol & Richard S. J. Tol, 2022. "A Meta-Analysis of the Total Economic Impact of Climate Change," CESifo Working Paper Series 9919, CESifo.
- Richard S.J. Tol, 2022. "A meta-analysis of the total economic impact of climate change," Working Paper Series 0422, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
- Richard S. J. Tol, 2022. "A meta-analysis of the total economic impact of climate change," Papers 2207.12199, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Zhang, Yongji & Liu, Lingxi & Lan, Minghui & Su, Zhi & Wang, Ke, 2024. "Climate change and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from major countries around the world," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1045-1060.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2013.
"Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregression,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 791-897,
Elsevier.
- Karlsson, Sune, 2012. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2012:12, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Aguilar-Gomez, Sandra & Gutierrez, Emilio & Heres, David & Jaume, David & Tobal, Martin, 2024.
"Thermal stress and financial distress: Extreme temperatures and firms’ loan defaults in Mexico,"
Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
- Sandra Aguilar-Gomez & Emilio Gutierrez & David Heres & David Jaume & Martin Tobal, 2022. "Thermal Stress and Financial Distress: Extreme Temperatures and Firms’ Loan Defaults in Mexico," Working Papers 148, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Meltem Chadwick & Hulya Saygili, 2024. "Temperature, precipitation and food price inflation: Evidence from a panel of countries," Working Papers wp55, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
More about this item
Keywords
climate change; inflation; temperature shocks; vector autoregression;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-DES-2023-04-17 (Economic Design)
- NEP-EEC-2023-04-17 (European Economics)
- NEP-ENV-2023-04-17 (Environmental Economics)
- NEP-MAC-2023-04-17 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20232798. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Official Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emieude.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.